The 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Massachusetts.
Republican former state representative Geoff Diehl, Democratic state attorney general Maura Healey, and Libertarian Kevin Reed sought to succeed incumbent governor Charlie Baker, who did not seek re-election after two terms. The race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election and the only race in which the incumbent was retiring despite being eligible for re-election.
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Turnout | 51.4% 8.75% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Healey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Diehl: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Primary elections were held on September 6, with Diehl and Healey winning against minimal opposition. Due to Massachusetts's strong liberal lean and Diehl's conservative political views, Healey was widely expected to win the election. The election was called for the Democrat shortly after polls closed, with Healey becoming the first woman ever elected governor of Massachusetts and the first openly lesbian governor to take office in United States history.
In addition, with the election of Kim Driscoll as lieutenant governor, Massachusetts became one of the first two states to simultaneously elect women as governor and lieutenant governor, with Arkansas simultaneously doing the same. Taking 63.7% of the vote, Healey's performance was the strongest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the state since Michael Dukakis in 1986, the best performance in history for a non-incumbent Democrat, and the best performance for any non-incumbent since Channing Cox in 1920. Healey also made history by receiving over 1.5 million votes, the most ever received by a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Massachusetts history.
This election constituted the largest shift by partisan margin of any 2022 gubernatorial election, swinging from a 33.5 point margin of victory for the Republican in 2018 to a 29.1 point margin for the Democrat in 2022. Additionally, every county in the state flipped from Republican to Democratic; a feat where every county flipped in a gubernatorial election had not occurred since Republican Matt Mead did so in Wyoming in 2010.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Shiva Ayyadurai | Geoff Diehl | Chris Doughty | Other | Undecided |
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Advantage, Inc. (R) | August 22–23, 2022 | 187 (LV) | ± 7.2% | – | 42% | 27% | – | 31% |
UMass Amherst | June 15–21, 2022 | 223 (LV) | ± 7.4% | – | 55% | 18% | 1% | 26% |
Emerson College | May 2–4, 2022 | 288 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 6% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 41% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Geoff Diehl | 149,800 | 55.44% | |
Republican | Chris Doughty | 120,418 | 44.56% | |
Total votes | 270,218 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Leah Cole Allen | Kate Campanale | |||||
1 | Aug. 15, 2022 | The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV | Steve Brown Darryl Murphy Sharman Sacchetti | YouTube | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Leah Cole Allen | Kate Campanale | Undecided |
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Advantage, Inc. (R) | August 22–23, 2022 | 187 (LV) | ± 7.2% | 13% | 19% | 68% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leah Cole Allen | 130,962 | 52.28% | |
Republican | Kate Campanale | 119,516 | 47.72% | |
Total votes | 250,478 | 100.0% |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sonia Chang-Díaz | Maura Healey | Other | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | April 2 – May 4, 2022 | May 7, 2022 | 12.5% | 48.0% | 39.5% | Healey +35.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Sonia Chang-Díaz | Maura Healey | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst | August 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 14% | 73% | 1% | 12% |
UMass Amherst | June 15–21, 2022 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20% | 53% | 1% | 26% |
Emerson College | May 2–4, 2022 | 488 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 8% | 34% | 15% | 43% |
UMass Lowell | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 17% | 62% | 2% | 18% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 12% | 48% | 7% | 30% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maura Healey | 2,858 | 71.2% | |
Democratic | Sonia Chang-Díaz | 1,155 | 28.8% | |
Total votes | 4,013 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maura Healey | 642,092 | 85.54% | |
Democratic | Sonia Chang-Díaz (withdrawn) | 108,574 | 14.46% | |
Total votes | 750,666 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||
Kim Driscoll | Tami Gouveia | Eric Lesser | |||||
1 | Aug. 16, 2022 | The Boston Globe WBUR-FM WCVB-TV | Steve Brown Taylor Dolven Sharman Sacchetti | YouTube | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kim Driscoll | Tami Gouveia | Adam Hinds | Eric Lesser | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Amherst | August 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 31% | 15% | – | 17% | 1% | 37% |
UMass Lowell | August 16–25, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 33% | 13% | – | 23% | 2% | 30% |
Advantage, Inc. (R) | August 22–23, 2022 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 13% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 72% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) Archived August 25, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | August 19–21, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 7% | – | 14% | 5% | 50% |
MassINC Polling Group Archived August 16, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | August 5–9, 2022 | 520 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | 6% | 62% |
UMass Amherst | June 15–21, 2022 | 556 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 17% | 10% | – | 12% | 0% | 61% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) Archived August 25, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 2022 | – (LV) | – | 16% | 6% | – | 10% | 5% | 58% |
UMass Lowell | April 2–11, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 49% |
MassINC Polling Group (D) | January 18–20, 2022 | 310 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 64% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kim Driscoll | 1,641 | 41.4% | |
Democratic | Tami Gouveia | 911 | 23.0% | |
Democratic | Eric Lesser | 839 | 21.2% | |
Democratic | Adam Hinds | 493 | 12.2% | |
Democratic | Bret Bero | 81 | 2.0% | |
Total votes | 3,965 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kim Driscoll | 332,712 | 46.65% | |
Democratic | Eric Lesser | 233,241 | 32.71% | |
Democratic | Tami Gouveia | 147,224 | 20.64% | |
Total votes | 713,177 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report | Solid D (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
Inside Elections | Solid D (flip) | September 9, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D (flip) | September 7, 2022 |
Politico | Solid D (flip) | April 1, 2022 |
RCP | Safe D (flip) | July 13, 2022 |
Fox News | Solid D (flip) | August 22, 2022 |
538 | Solid D (flip) | July 31, 2022 |
Elections Daily | Safe D (flip) | November 7, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Geoff Diehl (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Margin |
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Real Clear Politics | September 7 – October 16, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | 33.5% | 54.0% | 12.5% | Healey +20.5 |
FiveThirtyEight | May 4 – October 19, 2022 | October 20, 2022 | 28.5% | 54.6% | 16.9% | Healey +26.1 |
Average | 31.0% | 54.3% | 14.7% | Healey +23.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Geoff Diehl (R) | Maura Healey (D) | Other | Undecided |
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UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 20–26, 2022 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 33% | 61% | 2% | 3% |
UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 59% | 3% | 6% |
Suffolk University | October 13–16, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 56% | 4% | 6% |
MassINC Polling Group | October 5–14, 2022 | 987 (LV) | – | 23% | 53% | 6% | 18% |
Suffolk University | September 10–13, 2022 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 26% | 52% | 6% | 17% |
Emerson College | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 52% | 3% | 12% |
Suffolk University | July 20–23, 2022 | 493 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 23% | 54% | – | 23% |
UMass Lowell | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 61% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | May 2–4, 2022 | 848 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 31% | 59% | – | 10% |
Suffolk University | April 24–28, 2022 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 27% | 54% | – | 19% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
Geoff Diehl | Maura Healey | |||||
1 | Oct 12, 2022 | NBC10 Boston/NECN | Link | P | P | |
2 | Oct 20, 2022 | WCVB-TV | YouTube | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Democratic | 1,584,403 | 63.74% | +30.62% | ||
Republican | 859,343 | 34.57% | −32.03% | ||
Libertarian |
| 39,244 | 1.58% | N/A | |
Write-in | 2,806 | 0.11% | −0.17% | ||
Total votes | 2,485,796 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 2,511,461 | 51.4% | −9.37% | ||
Registered electors | |||||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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