2022 Sicilian Regional Election
The 2022 Sicilian regional election for the renewal of the Sicilian Regional Assembly and the election of the President of Sicily were held on 25 September, 2022.
Renato Schifani, candidate of the centre-right coalition, easily won the election, becoming the next president of the region.
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All 70 seats to the Sicilian Regional Assembly 36 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Electoral system
The Sicilian Parliament is elected with a mixed system: 62 MPs are chosen with a form of proportional representation using a largest remainder method with open lists and a 5% threshold, while 8 MPs (7+1) are elected using Party bloc vote.
| AG | CL | CT | EN | ME | PA | RG | SR | TP | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 62 |
Background
Progressive camp primary election
On 18 June a press conference was held between the leaders of Democratic Party, Five Star Movement, Italian Left, Green Europe, Article One, Italian Socialist Party and One Hundred Steps for Sicily. They presented the guidelines for the Progressive camp primary election, which was held on 23 July. The deadline for the candidacies was set for June 30. Caterina Chinnici won the primary election with 44% of votes, ahead of Barbara Floridia (32%) and Claudio Fava (23%).
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caterina Chinnici | Democratic Party | 14,552 | 44.77% | ||
| Barbara Floridia | Five Star Movement | 10,317 | 31.74% | ||
| Claudio Fava | One Hundred Steps for Sicily | 7,547 | 23.22% | ||
| Total | 100% | ||||
Parties and candidates
Below is a list of the parties and their respective leaders in the election.
| Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Previous result | Candidate | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| Centre-right coalition | Forza Italia | 16.4 | 12 | Renato Schifani | |||
| Populars and Autonomists – Us With Sicily | 7.1 | 5 | |||||
| Brothers of Italy (incl. DB) | 5.6 | 3 | |||||
| Italy First – League | |||||||
| Christian Democracy (incl. UDC) | — | — | |||||
| Five Star Movement | 26.7 | 19 | Nuccio Di Paola | ||||
| Centre-left coalition | Democratic Party (incl. PSI) | 13.0 | 11 | Caterina Chinnici | |||
| One Hundred Steps for Sicily (incl. Art.1, SI and EV) | 5.2 | 1 | |||||
| Free Sicilians | 0.7 | – | Eliana Esposito | ||||
| Action – Italia Viva (incl. Together and PSS) | — | — | Gaetano Armao | ||||
| De Luca's coalition | South calls North | — | — | Cateno De Luca | |||
| Sicilia Vera | — | — | |||||
Opinion polling
Candidates
Exit poll
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Schifani | Di Paola | Chinnici | De Luca | Armao | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2022 | Opinio | – | 37–41 | 13–17 | 15.5–19.5 | 24–28 | 1.5–3.5 | 1.5–3.5 | 13.0 |
| 1–8 Sep 2022 | SWG | 1,800 | 33–37 | 10–14 | 17–21 | 26–30 | 1–3 | 2–6 | 7.0 |
| 7 Sep 2022 | Noto | 1,000 | 41.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 |
| 2–6 Sep 2022 | Ipsos | 1,200 | 28.7 | 19.5 | 22.1 | 23.5 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| 1–3 Sep 2022 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 37–41 | 11–15 | 25–29 | 13–17 | 3–5 | 2–3 | 12.0 |
| 26–29 Aug 2022 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 38–42 | 8–12 | 27–31 | 12–16 | 3–5 | 2–4 | 11.0 |
Hypothetical candidates
| Date | Polling firm | Musumeci | Cancelleri | Micari | Fava | De Luca | No-one | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2021 | Keix | 26.1 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 13.2 | — | 31.0 | 4.0 |
| 28.1 | 27.1 | — | — | — | 44.8 | 1.0 | ||
| 24.2 | 21.1 | — | — | 13.8 | 40.9 | 3.1 | ||
| 23.6 | — | — | 21.1 | 14.6 | TBA | 2.5 | ||
| 28.5 | — | — | 25.4 | — | TBA | 3.1 |
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | CDX | M5S | CSX | IV | A | +E | Others | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FI | MpA/NcI | UDC–CP–IS | #DB | FdI | Lega | CI | Other | PD | CPpS | Art.1 | SI | EV | Other | |||||||||
| 9–14 March 2022 | Keix | 1,920 | 10.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 15.4 | 7.8 | — | — | 22.9 | 9.8 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.3 | 0.6 | — | — | 7.5 | ||
| 16 February 2022 | Demopolis | — | 14.0 | — | — | — | 26.0 | 9.0 | — | — | 21.0 | 18.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.8 | 5.0 | ||
| 23 December 2021 | Noto | — | 11 | 3.5 | — | 9 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 3.5 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | ||
| 26 June 2021 | Keix | — | 9.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 8.1 | 13.7 | 10.5 | — | — | 22.7 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | — | — | 4.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 9.0 |
Results
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| Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Votes | % | Seats | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Schifani | 887,215 | 42.05 | 7 | ||||||
| Brothers of Italy | 282,345 | 15.10 | 11 | ||||||
| Forza Italia | 275,736 | 14.75 | 11 | ||||||
| Italy First – League | 127,454 | 6.80 | 4 | ||||||
| Populars and Autonomists | 127,096 | 6.80 | 3 | ||||||
| Christian Democracy | 121,691 | 6.51 | 4 | ||||||
| Total | 934,322 | 49.96 | 33 | ||||||
| Cateno De Luca | 505,386 | 23.95 | 1 | ||||||
| South calls North | 254,453 | 13.61 | 7 | ||||||
| Sicilia Vera | 50,877 | 2.72 | – | ||||||
| Sicilian Pride | 18,165 | 0.97 | – | ||||||
| Land of Love | 3,390 | 0.18 | – | ||||||
| Young Sicilians | 3,042 | 0.16 | – | ||||||
| Sicilian Autonomy | 3,042 | 0.16 | – | ||||||
| Sicily Feat | 2,702 | 0.14 | – | ||||||
| Work in Sicily | 1,793 | 0.10 | – | ||||||
| Enough Mafias | 1,356 | 0.07 | – | ||||||
| Total | 336,390 | 18.11 | 7 | ||||||
| Caterina Chinnici | 341,252 | 16.17 | – | ||||||
| Democratic Party | 238,761 | 12.77 | 11 | ||||||
| One Hundred Steps for Sicily | 55,599 | 2.97 | – | ||||||
| Total | 294,360 | 15.74 | 11 | ||||||
| Nuccio di Paola | 321,142 | 15.22 | – | Five Star Movement | 254,974 | 13.64 | 11 | ||
| Gaetano Armao | 43,835 | 2.08 | – | Action – Italia Viva | 39,788 | 2.13 | – | ||
| Eliana Esposito | 10,973 | 0.52 | – | Free Sicilians | 7,654 | 0.41 | – | ||
| Blank and invalid votes | 140,596 | 6.25 | |||||||
| Total candidates | 2,250,399 | 100.00 | 8 | Total parties | 1,869,863 | 100.00 | 62 | ||
| Registered voters/turnout | 4,609,984 | 48.82 | |||||||
| Source: Regione Sicilia | |||||||||
References
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