2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election

The 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election to New Hampshire's Class II U.S.

Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election
← 2012 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2016 →
  2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election 2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election
Nominee Maggie Hassan Walt Havenstein
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 254,666 229,610
Percentage 52.4% 47.4%

2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election
2014 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election
Hassan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Havenstein:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Elected Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic

Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan ran for re-election to a second term in office. She defeated the Republican nominee, businessman Walt Havenstein. As of 2023, this is the last time a Democrat was elected Governor of New Hampshire.

Background

Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch decided to retire in 2012, rather than seek re-election to a fifth term in office. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%.

New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. On only one occasion since 1924 has a first-term governor of New Hampshire been defeated for re-election to a second term: in 2004, when Lynch beat incumbent Republican Governor Craig Benson.

Hassan had high approval ratings. An April 2014 WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll found that 57% of registered voters approved of the job she was doing, 58% had a favorable opinion of her, and 70% thought the state was going in the right direction. For these reasons, Hassan was not considered vulnerable going into the election. The Cook Political Report, Daily Kos Elections, Governing and Sabato's Crystal Ball all considered the race "likely Democratic" and RealClearPolitics and The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race "safe Democratic".

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Ian Freeman, radio show host
  • Maggie Hassan, incumbent Governor
  • Clecia Terrio, candidate for the State House in 2012

Hassan won the Democratic Party primary, held on September 9, 2014, with 94.3% of the votes cast.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Havenstein won the Republican Party primary, held on September 9, 2014, with 55.6% of the votes cast.

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Binnie
Ted
Gatsas
Daniel
Greene
Walt
Havenstein
Andrew
Hemingway
George
Lambert
Chuck
Morse
Jonathan
Smolin
Other Undecided
Suffolk Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine June 14–18, 2014 419 ±4.8% 3.82% 12.89% 6.92% 1.67% 74.7%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 ? ±5.2% 12% 12% 76%
Suffolk Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 426 ± ? 8.45% 15.02% 1.88% 1.88% 7.04% 65.72%

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report Likely D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Walt
Havenstein (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,690 ± 2.4% 51% 46% 3%
WMUR/UNH October 29–November 2, 2014 757 ± 3.6% 47% 43% 1% 9%
New England College October 31–November 1, 2014 1,526 ± 2.51% 51% 44% 2% 3%
Rasmussen Reports October 29–30, 2014 940 ± 3% 51% 42% 7%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–28, 2014 638 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 7%
WMUR/UNH October 19–22, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 52% 37% 1% 11%
American Research Group October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 48% 46% 6%
New England College October 24, 2014 1,132 ± 2.91% 47% 47% 2% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,042 ± 4% 47% 38% 1% 13%
American Research Group October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 43% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 764 ± ? 53% 43% 4%
CNN/ORC October 18–21, 2014 645 LV ± 4% 51% 45% 4%
877 RV ± 3.5% 54% 40% 5%
UMass Lowell October 15–21, 2014 643 LV ± 4.5% 49% 45% 7%
900 RV ± 3.8% 49% 40% 11%
Suffolk/Boston Herald October 16–19, 2014 500 ± ? 49% 39% 11%
New England College October 16, 2014 921 ± 3.23% 51% 43% 3% 4%
New England College October 9, 2014 1,081 ± 2.98% 49% 44% 3% 5%
High Point University October 4–8, 2014 824 ± 3.4% 50% 42% 4% 4%
WMUR/UNH September 29–October 5, 2014 532 ± 4.2% 46% 36% 2% 16%
New England College October 3, 2014 1,286 ± 2.73% 51% 41% 3% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,260 ± 3% 49% 39% 0% 12%
New England College September 26, 2014 1,331 ± 2.69% 48% 44% 3% 5%
American Research Group September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 55% 40% 5%
New England College September 19–20, 2014 1,494 ± 2.54% 52% 40% 4% 5%
Public Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 652 ± 3.8% 52% 43% 4%
Vox Populi Polling September 15–16, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 47% 43% 10%
American Research Group September 12–15, 2014 544 ± 4.2% 48% 40% 12%
New England College September 10–11, 2014 630 ± 3.98% 51% 36% 4% 9%
Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2014 750 ± 4% 51% 40% 3% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,159 ± 4% 51% 34% 3% 13%
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 49% 32% 1% 18%
National Research/RGA August 10–13, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 37% 1% 18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,246 ± 2.9% 53% 38% 2% 7%
WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 669 ± 3.8% 58% 29% 1% 10%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 51% 19% 3% 28%
American Research Group June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% 45% 32% 23%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 43% 30% 27%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 40% 19% 41%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 49% 19% 2% 30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Bill
Binnie (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 55% 26% 20%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 51% 31% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Jeb
Bradley (R)
Other Undecided
New England College May 2–5, 2013 807 ± 3.27% 55% 24% 22%
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 52% 38% 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Brad
Cook (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 34% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Ted
Gatsas (R)
Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 50% 27% 1% 23%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 53% 28% 19%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 584 ± 4.1% 45% 34% 2% 19%
New England College October 7–9, 2013 1,063 ± 3% 53% 25% 22%
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 51% 35% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Daniel
Greene (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 53% 13% 4% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Frank
Guinta (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 54% 36% 9%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Andrew
Hemingway (R)
Other Undecided
WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 51% 31% 1% 17%
WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 669 ± 3.8% 54% 28% 0% 18%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 51% 17% 3% 29%
Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 42% 31% 27%
Hickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 50% 28% 22%
Rockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 40% 20% 40%
WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 49% 22% 1% 28%
American Research Group March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% 45% 30% 25%
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 56% 23% 21%
WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 584 ± 4.1% 48% 27% 2% 22%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 51% 25% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
George
Lambert (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 55% 22% 23%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 50% 26% 23%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 32% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Chuck
Morse (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 56% 23% 21%
Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 50% 27% 22%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 33% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Andy
Sanborn (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 49% 32% 19%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Kevin
Smith (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 52% 32% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Jonathan
Smolin (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk/Boston Herald Archived June 20, 2014, at the Wayback Machine June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 15% 3% 31%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Christopher T.
Sununu (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± 3.2% 53% 37% 10%

Results

2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Maggie Hassan (incumbent) 254,666 52.38% -2.23%
Republican Walt Havenstein 230,610 47.43% +4.91%
Write-in 907 0.19% +0.09%
Total votes 486,183 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Hassan won both congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.

District Hassan Havenstein Representative
1st 50.86% 49.14% Frank Guinta
2nd 54.11% 45.89% Annie Kuster

References

    Official campaign websites

Tags:

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