Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip

Uxbridge and South Ruislip is a constituency in Greater London represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since its 2010 creation.

The seat has been held by Steve Tuckwell of the Conservative Party with a majority of 495 since a by-election on 20 July 2023. The seat's previous holder, former Prime Minister (2019–2022) Boris Johnson, also of the Conservative Party, had formally resigned after receiving a copy of the Standard Committee's report into Partygate, which recommended a recall petition.

Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of Uxbridge and South Ruislip in Greater London
CountyGreater London
Electorate66,131 (December 2022)
Major settlementsUxbridge, South Ruislip, Eastcote, Hillingdon, Yiewsley
Current constituency
Created2010
Member of ParliamentSteve Tuckwell (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created from

Johnson, then Foreign Secretary, won a majority of 5,034 votes in 2017, which was less than half his 2015 majority. After his appointment as Prime Minister, in the subsequent 2019 election, he retained the seat with an increased vote share of 52.6% and a majority of 7,210. He announced his resignation from his seat on 9 June 2023, triggering a by-election.

An estimate by the House of Commons Library puts the "Leave" vote by the constituency in the 2016 referendum at 57.2%.

History

The Conservative Party won in 2010 and 2015 by a margin of about 25%, and since 1970 the fourteen parliamentary elections in this constituency and its predecessor (the constituency of Uxbridge) were won by the Conservatives. The 2015 result gave the seat the 149th smallest majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.

2010–2017

In 2010, for the Uxbridge-born Conservative candidate John Randall, the one-party swing in the seat was 0.1% greater than that seen nationally – enough on the newly drawn constituency boundaries to provide 48.3% of the vote, and a majority of more than 11,000 votes. In the 2010 and 2015 elections, three (of 8 and 13 candidates respectively) attained 5% or more of the vote, thus retaining their deposits.

In 2014, Boris Johnson was selected to run in the seat; he was elected in 2015 with a swing of less than 1% to Labour and 50.2% of the vote. However, the 2017 election saw a 13.6% increase in Labour's vote share, although Johnson also increased his votes, which reduced Johnson's majority to only 5,034, less than half his 2015 margin and by far the lowest for a Conservative candidate in the area since 2001.

2019 general election

Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 24 July 2019, following the resignation of Theresa May. His 2017 majority in Uxbridge and South Ruislip of 5,034 votes was the smallest of any sitting prime minister since 1924. The main challenger in the seat was the Labour Party, whose 2019 candidate was Ali Milani. In April 2019, think-tank Onward classified the seat as "vulnerable" for the Conservatives, while YouGov classified the seat on 27 November 2019 as "likely Conservative". An article in The Independent on the same date inferred a 22.2% chance of Milani winning the seat from odds by bookmaker Paddy Power. Johnson retained the seat with an increased vote share of 52.6% and an increased majority of 15%.

In 2019, two satirical candidates, Count Binface and Lord Buckethead, stood for election. Lord Buckethead is the name of a character in the 1984 movie Gremloids, and several previous UK election candidates have used the name, but Jon Harvey was prevented from standing again as Lord Buckethead after Gremloids creator Todd Durham asserted his rights over the character. Instead, Harvey stood as Count Binface and an Official Monster Raving Loony Party candidate used the name Lord Buckethead. On 6 December, Lord Buckethead encouraged constituents to vote for Labour candidate Ali Milani. Also standing was William Tobin, who aimed to receive no votes. As an expatriate who has lived abroad for 15 years, he was not able to vote in UK elections, but could stand as a candidate. Tobin stood to raise awareness of disenfranchisement of voting rights for expatriates, as well as 16- and 17-year-olds and foreign nationals who live in the UK. Tobin received five votes.

2023 by-election

On 9 June 2023, Johnson announced his intention to resign, triggering the 2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election. The resignation occurred on 12 June 2023 and the by-election took place on 20 July 2023. It was won by the Tory candidate Steve Tuckwell, although with vote share reduced from 52.6% in 2019 to 45.2%.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

Most of the constituency came from that of Uxbridge, which was first established under the Redistribution of Seats Act 1885; however parts of the seat came from Ruislip-Northwood and Hayes and Harlington, both of which had been carved out of the Uxbridge seat in 1950. The 1950 changes reflected the area's growth in population since 1918, the previous national reorganisation of seats.

The boundaries of the constituency changed prior to the general election in 2010 as Parliament approved the Fifth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies. Ickenham and parts of West Ruislip were allocated to the new seat of Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner. Treating the constituency as the direct successor to the Uxbridge seat, it gained the electoral wards:

The seat comprises the following electoral wards:

Proposed

Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 
Uxbridge and South Ruislip, 2023

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, from the next general election, due by January 2025, the constituency will be composed of the following wards of the London Borough of Hillingdon (as they existed on 4 May 2022):

  • Colham & Cowley; Hillingdon East; Hillingdon West; Ickenham & South Harefield; Ruislip Manor; South Ruislip; Uxbridge; Yiewsley.

As a result of a new ward structure, the boundary with Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner will be realigned, with the constituency gaining the Ickenham and South Harefield ward, but losing parts of the (redrawn) Eastcote and Ruislip wards.

Constituency profile

The seat is in the Outer London commuter belt, is served by seven tube stations, and includes green spaces such as the Colne Valley regional park. In contrast to neighbouring Hayes and inner western suburbs, the area is without brutalist tower blocks. The highest density of buildings is found close to historic Uxbridge town centre, a hub in a seat that is ethnically diverse and prosperous, including on its outskirts Brunel University. Most of the borough electoral wards in the area vote Conservative, except for Uxbridge South, which returns Labour councillors. Workless claimants, registered jobseekers, were in November 2012 significantly lower than the national average of 3.8%, at 2.6% of the population based on a statistical compilation by The Guardian.

The constituency voted to leave the European Union in 2016 with an estimated 57.2% of votes, according to a House of Commons Library report. In August 2018, an analysis of YouGov polling by Focaldata suggested support for Remain had risen from 43.6% to 51.4%. Boris Johnson, former Prime Minister and Member of Parliament for the constituency, is a prominent Eurosceptic politician and was a key figure of the Vote Leave campaign in the run-up to the Brexit referendum on 23 June 2016; which resulted in a victory for the Leave campaign when the UK electorate voted in favour of British withdrawal from the European Union.

Members of Parliament

Years Member Party
Constituency created from Uxbridge and Ruislip-Northwood
2010 John Randall Conservative
2015 Boris Johnson Conservative
2023 by-election Steve Tuckwell Conservative

Elections

Results over time

Elections in the 2020s

Next general election: Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
SDP Stephen Gardner
Liberal Democrats Ian Rex-Hawkes
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors
Swing
2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Steve Tuckwell 13,965 45.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 7.4
Labour Danny Beales 13,470 43.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 6.0
Green Sarah Green 893 2.9 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.7
Reclaim Laurence Fox 714 2.3 New
Liberal Democrats Blaise Baquiche 526 1.7 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 4.6
SDP Steve Gardner 248 0.8 New
Independent Kingsley Hamilton Anti-Ulez 208 0.7 New
Count Binface Count Binface 190 0.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.5
Independent No-Ulez Leo Phaure 186 0.6 New
Rejoin EU Richard Hewison 105 0.3 New
Let London Live Piers Corbyn 101 0.3 New
Independent Cameron Bell 91 0.3 New
CPA Enomfon Ntefon 78 0.3 New
UKIP Rebecca Jane 61 0.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.4
Climate Ed Gemmell 49 0.2 New
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 32 0.1 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.2
Independent 77 Joseph 8 0.0 New
Majority 495 1.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 13.4
Turnout 30,925 46.1 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 22.4
Registered electors 67,067
Conservative hold Swing Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 6.7

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 25,351 52.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.8
Labour Ali Milani 18,141 37.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 2.4
Liberal Democrats Joanne Humphreys 3,026 6.3 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 2.4
Green Mark Keir 1,090 2.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.3
UKIP Geoffrey Courtenay 283 0.6 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 2.8
Monster Raving Loony Lord Buckethead 125 0.3 New
Independent Count Binface 69 0.1 New
Independent Alfie Utting 44 0.1 New
Yace "Interplanetary Time Lord" Yogenstein 23 0.0 New
Independent Norma Burke 22 0.0 New
Bobby Smith 8 0.0 New
William Tobin 5 0.0 New
Majority 7,210 15.0 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 4.2
Turnout 48,187 68.5 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.7
Registered electors 70,369
Conservative hold Swing Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 2.1
General election 2017: Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 23,716 50.8 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.6
Labour Vincent Lo 18,682 40.0 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 13.6
Liberal Democrats Rosina Robson 1,835 3.9 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.0
UKIP Lizzy Kemp 1,577 3.4 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 10.8
Green Mark Keir 884 1.9 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.3
Majority 5,034 10.8 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 13.0
Turnout 46,694 66.8 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 3.4
Registered electors 69,936
Conservative hold Swing Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 6.5
General election 2015: Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 22,511 50.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.9
Labour Chris Summers 11,816 26.4 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 3.0
UKIP Jack Duffin 6,346 14.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 11.5
Liberal Democrats Michael Cox 2,215 4.9 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 14.9
Green Graham Lee 1,414 3.2 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 2.1
TUSC Gary Harbord 180 0.4 New
Independent Jenny Thompson 84 0.2 New
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 72 0.2 New
Communities United Sabrina Moosun 52 0.1 New
The Eccentric Party of Great Britain (UK) Lord Toby Jug 50 0.1 New
Independent Michael Doherty 39 0.1 New
The Realists' Party Jane Lawrence 18 0.0 New
Independent James Jackson 14 0.0 New
Majority 10,695 23.8 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 1.1
Turnout 44,811 63.4 Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.1
Registered electors 70,631
Conservative hold Swing Uk Parliament Constituency Uxbridge And South Ruislip 0.5
General election 2010: Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative John Randall* 21,758 48.3
Labour Sidharath Garg 10,542 23.4
Liberal Democrats Mike Cox 8,995 20.0
BNP Diane Neal 1,396 3.1
UKIP Mark Wadsworth 1,234 2.7
Green Mike Harling 477 1.1
English Democrat Roger Cooper 403 0.9
National Front Frank McCallister 271 0.6
Majority 11,216 24.9
Turnout 45,076 63.3
Registered electors 71,160
Conservative win (new seat)
    Source: BBC News
    * Served as an MP in the 2005–2010 Parliament

See also

Notes

References

Parliament of the United Kingdom
Preceded by Constituency represented by the prime minister
2019–2022
Succeeded by

51°32′N 0°26′W / 51.54°N 0.44°W / 51.54; -0.44

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