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Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election

In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations.

These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote.

Graphical summary

Primary vote

Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election 

Two-party preferred

Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election 

Voting intention

2024

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
22–28 April 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,719 36.5% 31.5% 14% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
19–23 April 2024 YouGov Online 1,514 36% 33% 13% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
17–21 April 2024 Essential Online 1,145 35% 31% 11% 9% 1% 9% 4% 47% 49%
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 36% 30% 13% 5% 2% 14% — 50% 50%
15–21 April 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,617 35.5% 30.5% 16% 5.5% — 12.5% — 52% 48%
12-21 April 2024 RedBridge Group Online 1,529 37% 33% 12% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll Online 1,236 38% 33% 12% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,055 40% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
8–14 April 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,706 38.5% 30% 13.5% 5.5% — 12.5% — 49% 51%
13 April 2024 The Liberals are re-elected in the 2024 Cook by-election
3–7 April 2024 Essential Online 1,165 34% 29% 14% 6% 2% 8% 6% 48% 46%
1–7 April 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,731 38% 29.5% 13.5% 6% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
25–31 March 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,677 37.5% 30% 15.5% 3.5% — 13.5% — 51% 49%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov Online 1,513 38% 32% 13% 7% — 10% — 51% 49%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 35% 32% 13% 5% 2% 13% — 53% 47%
20–24 March 2024 Essential Online 1,150 36% 29% 11% 7% 3% 7% 6% 44% 50%
18–24 March 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,633 38% 31.5% 14% 4.5% — 12% — 50% 50%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll Online 1,223 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 51% 49%
11–17 March 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,710 37% 31.5% 12.5% 5.5% — 13.5% — 51.5% 48.5%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,051 39% 31% 14% — — 16% — 51% 49%
4–10 March 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,714 38% 32% 13% 4% — 13% — 51.5% 48.5%
5–9 March 2024 Essential Online 1,126 35% 32% 11% 8% 2% 8% 5% 48% 47%
24 February – 5 March 2024 YouGov Online 1,539 37% 32% 15% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
26 February – 3 March 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,679 36.5% 34% 13.5% 3.5% — 12.5% — 53.5% 46.5%
2 March 2024 Labor is re-elected in the 2024 Dunkley by-election
21–25 February 2024 Essential Online 1,145 35% 30% 13% 7% 2% 8% 4% 47% 48%
19–25 February 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,682 38% 31.5% 12% 5% — 13.5% — 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,603 37% 34% 11% 6% 1% 13% — 52% 48%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll Online 1,245 36% 33% 12% 6% — 13% — 52% 48%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,049 38% 31% 14% — — 17% — 51% 49%
12–18 February 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,706 37% 34% 13% 4% — 12% — 52.5% 47.5%
7–11 February 2024 Essential Online 1,148 34% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 5% 50% 46%
5–11 February 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,699 37% 34.5% 12% 4.5% — 12% — 52% 48%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov Online 1,502 36% 32% 14% 8% — 10% — 52% 48%
30 January – 7 February 2024 RedBridge Group Online 2,040 38% 33% 13% — — 16% — 51.2% 48.8%
29 January – 4 February 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,709 37% 33% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
31 January – 3 February 2024 Newspoll Online 1,245 36% 34% 12% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
24–28 January 2024 Essential Online 1,201 34% 32% 13% 7% 2% 7% 5% 48% 46%
22–28 January 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,688 37.5% 31% 13% 5.5% — 13% — 50.5% 49.5%
15–21 January 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,675 36% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 14% — 52.5% 47.5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov Online 1,532 37% 32% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
8–14 January 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,727 37% 31.5% 12% 4.5% — 15% — 51.5% 48.5%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,007 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
2–7 January 2024 Roy Morgan Online 1,716 39% 29% 13% 5% — 14% — 49% 51%

2023

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,109 39% 31% 13% — — 16% — 50% 50%
11–17 December 2023 Roy Morgan Online 1,109 38% 32% 11.5% 4.5% — 14% — 50% 50%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll Online 1,219 36% 33% 13% 7% — 11% — 52% 48%
6–11 December 2023 Essential Online 1,102 34% 31% 13% 6% 2% 9% 5% 49% 46%
6–11 December 2023 RedBridge Group Online 2,010 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 52.8% 47.2%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov Online 1,555 36% 29% 15% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
29 November – 3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,605 34% 35% 12% 5% 1% 12% — 55% 45%
27 November – 3 December 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,730 37.5% 32.5% 12.5% 5% — 12.5% — 51% 49%
22–26 November 2023 Essential Online 1,151 34% 31% 13% 7% 1% 8% 6% 48% 47%
20–26 November 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,379 35% 32% 13.5% 5% — 14.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll Online 1,216 38% 31% 13% 6% — 12% — 50% 50%
13–19 November 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,401 37.5% 29.5% 13.5% 6.5% — 13% — 49.5% 50.5%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov Online 1,582 36% 31% 13% 7% — 13% — 51% 49%
8–12 November 2023 Essential Online 1,150 34% 32% 12% 7% 2% 8% 5% 49% 47%
6–12 November 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,397 36.5% 30% 13% 6% — 14.5% — 50% 50%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,602 30% 35% 13% 7% 2% 13% — 57% 43%
30 October – 3 November 2023 Newspoll Online 1,220 37% 35% 12% 6% — 10% — 52% 48%
27 October – 2 November 2023 RedBridge Group Online 1,205 35% 34% 14% — — 17% — 53.5% 46.5%
25–29 October 2023 Essential Online 1,149 34% 32% 10% 7% 3% 9% 6% 48% 46%
23–29 October 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,375 35% 32.5% 15% — — 17.5% — 53% 47%
16–22 October 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,383 36% 32% 14% 4.5% — 13.5% — 49.5% 50.5%
14 October 2023 The 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is defeated
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll Online 2,638 35% 36% 12% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov Online 1,519 36% 33% 14% 6% — 11% — 53% 47%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll Online 1,225 36% 34% 12% 5% — 13% — 53% 47%
22 September – 4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 4,728 31% 37% 12% 7% 2% 11% — 57% 43%
27 September – 1 October 2023 Essential Online 1,125 32% 33% 14% 6% 2% 7% 5% 50% 45%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov Online 1,563 35% 33% 13% — — 19% — 53% 47%
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,003 37% 33% 13% — — 17% — 51% 49%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll Online 1,239 36% 36% 11% 6% — 11% — 54% 46%
13–17 September 2023 Essential Online 1,135 32% 31% 13% 8% 2% 8% 6% 49% 45%
4–10 September 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,382 37% 32% 13.5% — — 17.5% — 52.5% 47.5%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 34% 36% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 55.5% 44.5%
30 August – 4 September 2023 RedBridge Group Online 1,001 36% 37% 13% — — 14% — 54.1% 45.9%
30 August – 3 September 2023 Essential Online 1,151 32% 31% 15% 7% 2% 7% 6% 51% 43%
28 August – 3 September 2023 Roy Morgan — 1,404 37.5% 33.5% 13% — — 16% — 53% 47%
28 August – 1 September 2023 Newspoll Online 1,200 37% 35% 13% 7% — 8% — 53% 47%
16–20 August 2023 Essential Online 1,151 33% 33% 14% 5% 3% 7% 6% 51% 43%
10–14 August 2023 RedBridge Group Online 1,010 32% 38% 10% — — 21% — 55.6% 44.4%
9–13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,603 33% 37% 11% 5% 2% 12% — 56% 44%
2–6 August 2023 Essential Online 1,150 30% 33% 12% 8% 2% 8% 6% 52% 42%
19–23 July 2023 Essential Online 1,150 32% 31% 14% 7% 1% 9% 6% 50% 45%
15 July 2023 LNP is re-elected in the 2023 Fadden by-election
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 30% 39% 11% 6% 1% 11% — 59% 41%
12–15 July 2023 Newspoll Online 1,570 34% 36% 12% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
5–9 July 2023 Essential Online 2,248 32% 32% 14% 8% 1% 8% 5% 51% 44%
21–25 June 2023 Essential Online 1,148 30% 32% 14% 7% 2% 11% 6% 52% 42%
16–24 June 2023 Newspoll Online 2,303 35% 38% 11% 6% — 10% — 54% 46%
7–11 June 2023 Essential Online 1,123 32% 32% 16% 5% 1% 9% 5% 52% 42%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,606 30% 40% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 60% 40%
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll Online 1,549 34% 38% 12% 6% — 10% — 55% 45%
24–28 May 2023 Essential Online 1,138 31% 34% 15% 6% 2% 7% 5% 52% 43%
15–17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,005 37% 34% 12% — — 17% — 52% 48%
10–14 May 2023 Essential Online 1,080 31% 35% 14% 5% 1% 8% 5% 53% 42%
11–13 May 2023 Newspoll Online 1,516 34% 38% 11% 7% — 10% — 55% 45%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 30% 42% 12% 5% 2% 8% 2% 61% 39%
26–30 April 2023 Essential Online 1,130 32% 33% 14% 5% 2% 8% 5% 53% 41%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,514 33% 38% 11% 7% — 11% — 56% 44%
12–16 April 2023 Essential Online 1,136 31% 34% 14% 6% 3% 9% 4% 52% 43%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,609 28% 42% 12% 6% 1% 11% — 61.5% 38.5%
29 March – 2 April 2023 Essential Online 1,133 30% 33% 14% 6% 2% 10% 5% 53% 42%
29 March – 1 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,500 33% 38% 10% 8% — 11% — 55% 45%
1 April 2023 Labor wins the 2023 Aston by-election
15–20 March 2023 Essential Online 1,124 31% 34% 14% 5% 2% 9% 5% 52% 43%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,600 30% 39% 13% 5% 1% 11% — 60% 40%
1–5 March 2023 Essential Online 1,141 32% 32% 12% 7% 2% 10% 7% 49% 44%
27 February – 5 March 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 38% 11.5% — — 17% — 54.5% 45.5%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll Online 1,530 35% 37% 10% 7% — 11% — 54% 46%
20–26 February 2023 Roy Morgan — — 34.5% 37% 13.5% — — 15% — 56.5% 43.5%
15–19 February 2023 Essential Online 1,044 30% 33% 14% 6% 3% 8% 8% 51% 42%
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 31% 40% 10% 5% 1% 11% — 57.9% 42.1%
13–19 February 2023 Roy Morgan Online/Telephone — 33% 37% 13% — — 17% — 58.5% 41.5%
1–6 February 2023 Essential Online 1,000 30% 33% 17% 6% 1% 15% 5% 55% 40%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll Online 1,512 34% 38% 11% 6% 1% 10% — 55% 45%
23–29 January 2023 Roy Morgan — — 33.5% 37.5% 11.5% — — 17.5% — 57% 43%
18–22 January 2023 Essential Online 1,050 31% 34% 14% 8% 1% 7% 5% 53% 42%
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,606 29% 42% 11% 6% 2% 11% — 60% 40%

2022

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
23 December 2022 Andrew Gee leaves the Nationals to become an Independent
16–18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,209 37% 37% 12% 4% 1% 9% — 54% 46%
7–11 December 2022 Essential Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 6% 3% 8% 5% 51% 44%
30 November–4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,611 30% 42% 11% 4% 2% 8% — 60% 40%
30 November–3 December 2022 Newspoll Online 1,508 35% 39% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
23–27 November 2022 Essential Online 1,042 31% 33% 13% — — 17% 6% 51% 43%
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,500 35% 38% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,611 32% 39% 13% 4% 1% 11% — 57.4% 42.6%
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 30% 39% 12% 5% 3% 11% — 58.3% 41.7%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,607 32% 39% 10% 6% 2% 11% — 57% 43%
31 August–3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,505 31% 37% 13.5% 7% 2% 10% — 57% 43%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 2,011 28% 42% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 61.3% 38.7%
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,508 33% 37% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 56% 44%
14–17 June 2022 Dynata Online 1,001 31% 34% 12% 4% 4% 7% 9% 52.2% 47.8%
13–19 June 2022 Roy Morgan Online/telephone 1,401 37% 36% 11% 4% 0.5% 11.5% — 53% 47%
29 May 2022 Peter Dutton elected unopposed as Leader of the Liberal Party
21 May 2022 Election 35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 52.1% 47.9%

Preferred prime minister and leadership polling

Graphical summary

The following graphical summaries illustrate results from opinion polling for preferred Prime Minister and their respective approval ratings based on data below that is documented in the tables.

Preferred Prime Minister

Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election 

Leadership approval ratings

Albanese

Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election 

Dutton

Opinion Polling For The Next Australian Federal Election 

Preferred Prime Minister and leadership polling table

2024
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
17–21 April 2024 Essential Online 1,145 — — — 43% 48% 9% −5% 44% 41% 15% +3%
17–21 April 2024 YouGov Online 1,092 37% 45% 18% — — — — — — — —
17–21 April 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 41% 32% 27% 43% 45% 12% −2% 40% 42% 17% −2%
15–18 April 2024 Newspoll Online 1,236 48% 35% 17% — — — −6% — — — −15%
12–14 April 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,055 45% 39% 16% 38% 45% 17% −7% 32% 41% 27% −9%
22–27 March 2024 YouGov Online 1,513 46% 34% 20% 41% 52% 7% −11% 38% 49% 13% −11%
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 40% 30% 30% 38% 49% 13% −11% 36% 44% 20% −8%
18–22 March 2024 Newspoll Online 1,223 48% 34% 18% 44% 51% 5% −7% 37% 52% 11% −15%
8–10 March 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,051 47% 38% 15% 37% 45% 18% −8% 30% 43% 27% −13%
24 February – 5 March 2024 YouGov Online 1,539 48% 34% 18% 44% 50% 6% −6% 39% 49% 12% −10%
21–25 February 2024 Essential Online 1,145 — — — 42% 47% 10% −5% 40% 44% 16% −4%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic Online 1,603 39% 32% 29% 41% 47% 12% −6% 35% 45% 20% −10%
19–23 February 2024 Newspoll Online 1,245 47% 35% 18% 43% 51% 6% −8% 37% 51% 12% −14%
16–18 February 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,049 42% 38% 19% 38% 45% 18% −7% 32% 41% 28% −9%
2–7 February 2024 YouGov Online 1,502 45% 38% 17% — — — −16% — — — −8%
31 January–3 February 2024 Newspoll Online 1,245 46% 35% 19% 42% 51% 7% −9% 37% 50% 13% −13%
24–28 January 2024 Essential Online 1,201 — — — 41% 47% 12% −6% 38% 43% 19% −5%
12–17 January 2024 YouGov Online 1,532 45% 35% 20% — — — −13% — — — −11%
10–11 January 2024 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,007 47% 38% 15% 38% 43% 19% −5% 31% 40% 30% −9%
2023
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
15–17 December 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,109 43% 39% 18% 37% 42% 20% −5% 34% 36% 30% −2%
11–15 December 2023 Newspoll Online 1,219 46% 35% 19% 42% 50% 8% −8% 39% 48% 13% −9%
1–5 December 2023 YouGov Online 1,555 46% 36% 18% 39% 55% 6% −16% 39% 48% 13% −9%
29 November–3 December 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,605 42% 28% 30% 37% 48% 15% −11% 34% 42% 24% −8%
22–26 November 2023 Essential Online 1,151 — — — 42% 47% 12% −5% 39% 42% 19% −3%
20–24 November 2023 Newspoll Online 1,216 46% 35% 19% 40% 53% 7% −13% 37% 50% 13% −13%
10–14 November 2023 YouGov Online 1,582 48% 34% 18% 43% 50% 7% −7% 40% 47% 13% −7%
1–5 November 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,602 40% 27% 33% 39% 46% 15% −7% 36% 40% 25% −4%
30 October–3 November 2023 Newspoll Online 1,220 46% 36% 18% 42% 52% 6% −10% 37% 50% 13% −13%
11–14 October 2023 Essential Online 1,125 — — — 46% 43% 11% +3% 36% 43% 21% −7%
4–12 October 2023 Newspoll Online 2,638 51% 31% 18% 46% 46% 8% 0% 35% 53% 12% −18%
6–10 October 2023 YouGov Online 1,519 50% 34% 16% 45% 48% 7% −3% 38% 50% 12% −12%
3–6 October 2023 Newspoll Online 1,225 50% 33% 17% 45% 46% 9% −1% 37% 50% 13% −13%
22 September–4 October 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 47% 25% 28% 43% 43% 14% 0% 30% 45% 25% −15%
25–29 September 2023 YouGov Online 1,563 50% 33% 17% — — — — — — — —
22–24 September 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,003 46% 37% 17% 38% 41% 21% −3% 30% 40% 30% −10%
18–22 September 2023 Newspoll Online 1,239 50% 30% 20% 47% 44% 9% +3% 32% 52% 16% −20%
6–9 September 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 43% 28% 29% 40% 47% 13% −7% 35% 43% 22% −8%
30 August–3 September 2023 Essential Online 1,151 — — — 46% 43% 10% +3% 38% 43% 19% −5%
28 August–1 September 2023 Newspoll Online 1,200 50% 31% 19% 46% 47% 7% −1% 38% 49% 13% −11%
9-13 August 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,603 46% 25% 29% 44% 42% 14% +2% 31% 44% 24% −13%
19-23 July 2023 Essential Online 1,150 — — — 48% 41% 11% +7% 37% 43% 20% −6%
12-15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 51% 21% 28% 51% 34% 15% +17% 31% 47% 23% −16%
12-15 July 2023 Newspoll Online 1,570 54% 29% 17% 52% 41% 7% +11% 36% 49% 15% −13%
16-24 June 2023 Newspoll Online 2,303 52% 32% 16% 52% 42% 6% +10% 38% 49% 13% −11%
29 May - 12 June 2023 CT Group Online 3,000 — — — 42% 36% 22% +6% — — — —
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,606 53% 22% 25% 53% 35% 13% +18% 28% 48% 24% −20%
31 May – 3 June 2023 Newspoll Online 1,549 55% 28% 17% 55% 37% 8% +18% 36% 50% 14% −14%
15-17 May 2023 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,005 51% 33% 16% 42% 37% 21% +5% 30% 42% 28% −12%
10–14 May 2023 Essential Online 1,125 — — — 54% 35% 11% +19% 36% 45% 19% −9%
11-13 May 2023 Newspoll Online 1,516 56% 29% 15% 57% 38% 5% +19% 36% 51% 13% −15%
10–13 May 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,610 53% 20% 27% 56% 29% 14% +27% 28% 49% 23% −21%
19–22 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,514 54% 28% 18% 53% 37% 10% +16% 33% 52% 15% −19%
12–16 April 2023 Essential Online 1,136 — — — 51% 36% 12% +15% 36% 44% 20% −8%
12–16 April 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,609 55% 21% 24% 56% 29% 14% +27% 26% 54% 19% −28%
29 March – 2 April 2023 Essential Online 1,133 — — — 52% 35% 13% +17% — — — —
29 March – 1 April 2023 Newspoll Online 1,500 58% 26% 16% 56% 35% 9% +21% 35% 48% 21% −13%
12–16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,600 51% 22% 27% 55% 31% 13% +24% 32% 44% 25% −12%
1–4 March 2023 Newspoll Online 1,530 54% 28% 18% 55% 38% 7% +17% 37% 48% 15% −11%
15–21 February 2023 Morning Consult — — — — — 57% 31% 12% +26% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Essential Online 1,044 — — — 53% 34% 13% +19% — — — —
15–19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 55% 23% 22% 56% 30% 13% +26% 29% 45% 26% −16%
1–4 February 2023 Newspoll Online 1,512 56% 26% 18% 57% 33% 10% +24% 36% 46% 18% −10%
18–22 January 2023 Essential Online 1,050 — — — 55% 31% 13% +24% — — — —
17–22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic Online 1,606 55% 20% 25% 60% 25% 15% +35% 28% 46% 26% −18%
2022
Date Firm Interview mode Sample Preferred Prime Minister Albanese Dutton
Albanese Dutton Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Net
16-18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy Online 1,209 55% 29% 16% – – – – – – – –
7–11 December 2022 Essential Online 1,042 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
30 November – 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,611 54% 19% 27% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 43% 29% –15%
30 November – 3 December 2022 Newspoll Online 1,508 59% 24% 17% 62% 29% 9% +33% 36% 45% 19% –9%
16–22 November 2022 Morning Consult Online — – – – 56% 31% 25% +25% – – – –
9–14 November 2022 Essential Online 1,035 – – – 60% 27% 13% +33% – – – –
27–30 October 2022 Newspoll Online 1,500 54% 27% 19% 59% 33% 8% +26% 39% 46% 15% –7%
26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,611 53% 19% 28% 57% 28% 16% +29% 29% 41% 30% –12%
13–16 October 2022 Freshwater Strategic Online 1,042 – – – 50% 26% 24% +24% 33% 34% 33% –1%
11–16 October 2022 Essential Online 1,122 – – – 58% 26% 15% +32% – – – –
5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,604 53% 18% 29% 60% 25% 15% +35% 30% 41% 28% –11%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1,607 53% 19% 28% 60% 24% 16% +36% 28% 40% 32% –12%
31 August – 4 September 2022 Essential Online 1,070 — — — 59% 25% 15% +34% — — — —
31 August – 3 September 2022 Newspoll Online 1,505 61% 22% 17% 61% 29% 10% +32% 35% 43% 22% –8%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 2,011 55% 17% 28% 61% 22% 17% +39% 30% 37% 32% –7%
3–7 August 2022 Essential Online 1,075 — — — 55% 28% 18% +27% — — — —
27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1,508 59% 25% 16% 61% 26% 13% +35% 37% 41% 22% –4%
7–11 July 2022 Essential Online 1,097 — — — 56% 24% 20% +32% — — — —
8–12 June 2022 Essential Online 1,087 — — — 59% 18% 23% +41% — — — —
23–31 May 2022 Morning Consult Online 3,770 — — — 51% 24% 25% +27% — — — —

Sub-national polling

New South Wales

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
21–24 March 2024 Resolve Strategic 1,610 35% 33% 11% 6% 2% 12% 2% 52% 48%
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll 1,152 38% 32% 12% 7% — — 11% 50% 50%
21–24 February 2024 Resolve Strategic 1,603 37% 34% 10% 4% 1% — 14% 51.5% 48.5%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll 1,139 37% 32% 13% 7% — — 11% 51% 49%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 1,565 34% 38% 13% 5% — — 10% 56% 44%
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic — 32% 34% 13% 8% 2% 10% 2% 54.5% 45.5%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic — 36% 39% 8% 6% 2% 7% 3% 53.5% 46.5%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic — 34% 42% 11% 4% 1% 8% 1% 57% 43%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic — 32% 39% 10% 9% 0% 8% 2% 55.5% 44.5%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic — 33% 39% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 56% 44%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic — 30% 46% 9% 5% 1% 7% 2% 61% 39%
21 April 2023 Mark Speakman is elected leader of the NSW Liberal Party
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll 1,414 35% 38% 10% 7% — — 10% 55% 45%
25 March 2023 Labor wins a minority government at the state election
12-16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 35% 39% 11% 5% 1% 7% 2% 54.9% 45.1%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 41% 10% 6% 1% 9% 2% 57.5% 42.5%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 40% 10% 8% 2% 7% 2% 57.5% 42.5%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic — 33% 38% 12% 5% 3% 8% 2% 55.5% 45.5%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll 1,817 35% 38% 11% 6% — — 10% 55% 45%
26-30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 32% 41% 10% 6% 1% 8% 2% 57.9% 42.1%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 32% 39% 12% 6% 3% 7% 2% 57.9% 42.1%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic — 29% 41% 9% 7% 3% 9% 3% 59.4% 40.6%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic — 29% 42% 11% 5% 2% 8% 3% 60.6% 39.4%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan — — — — — — — — 46.5% 53.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.5% 33.4% 10% 4.8% 4% 7.6% 3.7% 51.4% 48.6%

Victoria

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN UAP ONP IND OTH ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll 926 34% 33% 16% 5% — — 12% 55% 45%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll 917 34% 34% 15% 5% — — 12% 55% 45%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 887 35% 36% 13% 4% — — 12% 54% 46%
Daniel Andrews resigns as Premier of Victoria, replaced by Jacinta Allan
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic — 30% 39% 11% 2% 6% 8% 2%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic — 32% 40% 13% 2% 3% 8% 2%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic — 30% 38% 14% 1% 3% 10% 4%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic — 26% 42% 13% 2% 5% 9% 3%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic — 25% 40% 15% 3% 6% 7% 4% 62.2% 37.8%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic — 25% 48% 12% 1% 4% 7% 2% 65.7% 34.3%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll 1,193 33% 41% 11% 4% — — 11% 58% 42%
12 - 16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 29% 43% 9% 1% 6% 8% 4% 59.4% 40.6%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 27% 40% 14% 3% 2% 11% 2% 61.5% 39.5%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 41% 13% 2% 3% 7% 4% 60% 40%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic — 27% 46% 11% 2% 2% 7% 5% 63.3% 36.7%
26 December 2022 Labor wins a third term at the state election
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll 1,448 33% 37% 13% 5% — — 12% 57% 43%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 32% 39% 12% 2% 2% 11% 3% 57.6% 42.4%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 30% 40% 10% 5% 4% 9% 3% 59.6% 40.4%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic — 30% 38% 14% 3% 2% 8% 5% 59.9% 40.1%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic — 24% 42% 11% 3% 5% 10% 5% 63.6% 36.4%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan — — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 33.1% 32.9% 13.7% 4.7% 3.8% 6.5% 5.3% 54.8% 45.2%

Queensland

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary votes.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH LNP ALP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll 772 41% 29% 12% 7% — — 11% 53% 47%
Annastacia Palaszczuk resigns as Premier of Queensland, replaced by Steven Miles
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll 764 41% 27% 12% 8% — — 12% 54% 46%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 887 39% 30% 11% 9% — — 11% 52% 48%
22 Sept - 4 Oct 2023 Resolve Strategic — 34% 33% 11% 9% 1% 10% 1%
6-9 Sep 2023 Resolve Strategic — 35% 29% 16% 9% 2% 7% 2%
09–12 Aug 2023 Resolve Strategic — 40% 28% 9% 8% 2% 10% 3%
12–15 July 2023 Resolve Strategic — 36% 33% 12% 6% 2% 10% 1%
6–11 June 2023 Resolve Strategic — 31% 38% 10% 11% 2% 7% 1% 44.3% 55.7%
14-16 May 2023 Resolve Strategic — 39% 27% 17% 7% 3% 6% 2% 50.9% 49.1%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll 995 39% 33% 10% 8% — — 10% 50% 50%
12 - 16 March 2023 Resolve Strategic — 24% 39% 14% 6% 1% 14% 2% 40.3% 59.7%
15 - 19 February 2023 Resolve Strategic — 35% 39% 10% 9% 1% 0% 5% 46.7% 53.3%
17 - 22 January 2023 Resolve Strategic — 30% 38% 11% 9% 1% 8% 2% 42.5% 57.5%
30 November - 4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic — 34% 43% 7% 6% 1% 6% 2% 44.9% 55.1%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll 1,207 40% 33% 12% 6% — — 9% 51% 49%
26-30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 32% 36% 16% 4% 2% 6% 4% 44.4% 55.6%
5-9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic — 38% 31% 14% 6% 2% 7% 2% 49.8% 50.2%
14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic — 31% 42% 7% 10% 2% 7% 2% 43.4% 56.4%
17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic — 31% 37% 16% 6% 2% 6% 3% 42.5% 57.5%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan — — — — — — — — 50% 50%
21 May 2022 Election 39.6% 27.4% 12.9% 7.5% 5.1% 2.1% 5.4% 54% 46%

Western Australia

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP L/NP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll 368 34% 39% 8% 6% — 13% — 49% 51%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll 364 37% 37% 11% 5% — 10% — 54% 46%
6–13 December 2023 RedBridge 1,203 39% 37% 12% 5% — 7% — 55.2% 44.8%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 620 38% 38% 10% 6% — 8% — 53% 47%
Mark McGowan stands down as Premier of Western Australia, replaced by Roger Cook
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll 474 40% 33% 11% 6% — 14% — 57% 43%
Libby Mettam replaces David Honey as the WA Liberal leader
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll 575 41% 33% 9% 7% — 11% — 55% 45%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan 144 — — — — — — — 50.5% 49.5%
21 May 2022 Election 36.8% 34.8% 12.5% 4% 2.3% 9.6% — 55% 45%

South Australia

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for primary voting.
Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP
31 January – 22 March 2024 Newspoll 278 33% 35% 11% 10% — 11% — 54% 46%
31 October - 15 December 2023 Newspoll 277 35% 38% 10% 6% — 11% — 55% 45%
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 362 30% 40% 10% 11% — 9% — 57% 43%
1 February - 3 April 2023 Newspoll 362 35% 38% 12% 5% — 10% — 56% 44%
27 July - 3 December 2022 Newspoll 449 35% 40% 12% 6% — 7% — 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan 103 — — — — — — — 60.5% 39.5%
21 May 2022 Election 35.54% 34.46% 12.77% 4.83% 3.89% 8.51% — 53.97% 46.03%

Tasmania

Graphical summary

Graphical summary of opinion polls for two-party preferred.
Polling
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP IND OTH ALP L/NP
28 August - 12 October 2023 Newspoll 366 25% 30% 13% 4% — — 27% 57% 43%
21 June 2022 Roy Morgan — — — — — — — — 63% 37%
21 May 2022 Election 32.9% 27.3% 12% 4% 1.8% 11.2% 10.8% 54.3% 45.7%

Northern Territory

Graphical summary

Polling

Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2pp vote
ALP CLP GRN ONP IND OTH ALP CLP
16 - 18 November 2023 Redbridge Group 601 22.2% 40.4% 11.1% 11.7% 7.2% 7.4% 43.9% 56.1%
21 May 2022 Election 38.2% 29.4% 13.1% 5.4% 1.3% 12.7% 55.5% 44.5%

Individual seat polling

Occasionally, opinion polling is conducted in individual electoral divisions.

New South Wales

Mackellar

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms 602 ±3.85% 35.3% 30.4% 13.2% 5.8% 4.5% 10.8% 54.0% 46.0%
21 May 2022 Election 41.4% 38.1% 8.6% 6.1% 6.1% — 52.5% 47.5%

Wentworth

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms 643 ±3.85% 35.5% 32.1% 13.1% 10.0% 2.9% 6.3% 57.0% 43.0%
21 May 2022 Election 40.5% 35.8% 10.7% 8.3% 4.6% — 54.2% 45.8%

Cook

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LIB ALP GRN IND OTH LIB GRN ALP
28 March 2024 uComms 914 ± 3.6% 53% — 17% 12% 10% 65% 35% —
21 May 2022 Election 55.3% 25.0% 9.9% — 9.8% 62.4% — 37.6%

Victoria

Kooyong

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2cp vote
LIB IND ALP GRN OTH UND IND LIB
5 February 2024 uComms 647 ±3.9% 36.8% 32.5% 12.1% 6.8% 2.0% 9.7% 56.0% 44.0%
24–25 July 2023 uComms 821 ±3.4% 40.3% 31.6% 12.4% 5.6% 2.9% 7.2% 51.0% 49.0%
21 May 2022 Election 42.7% 40.3% 6.9% 6.3% 3.8% — 52.9% 47.1%

Dunkley

Date Firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Primary vote 2PP vote
ALP LIB GRN LBT OTH ALP LIB
15-22 February 2024 YouGov 394 ± 6.1% 33% 40% 9% 3% 15% 49% 51%
5-6 February 2024 uComms 626 ± 3.9% 40.1% 39.3% 8.2% 1.6% 10.8% 52.0% 48.0%
21 May 2022 Election 40.2% 32.5% 10.3% 2.5% 16.9% 56.3% 43.7%

See also

Notes

References

This article uses material from the Wikipedia English article Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election, which is released under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 license ("CC BY-SA 3.0"); additional terms may apply (view authors). Content is available under CC BY-SA 4.0 unless otherwise noted. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.
®Wikipedia is a registered trademark of the Wiki Foundation, Inc. Wiki English (DUHOCTRUNGQUOC.VN) is an independent company and has no affiliation with Wiki Foundation.

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