Opinion Polling For The 2022 Colombian Presidential Election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 Colombian presidential election, the first round of which was held on 29 May.

Because no candidate won a majority, a second round was held on 19 June between the top two candidates, Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández Suárez.

First round

Graphical summary

Table of values

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro
PHC
Federico Gutiérrez
EPC
Rodolfo Hernández
LIGA
Sergio Fajardo
CCE
Íngrid Betancourt
PVO
John M. Rodríguez
CJL
Enrique Gómez
MSN
Luis Pérez
IND
Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
First round election 29 May 2022 40.34% 23.94% 28.17% 4.18% 0.07% 1.28% 0.23% 0.05% 1.73%
Betancourt withdrew her candidacy on 20 May 2022
AtlasIntel 17–20 May 2022 2,781 40% 26.7% 21.4% 8.8% 0.2% 2%
CELAG 16–20 May 2022 2,174 45.1% 20.1% 20.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.4% 3.2% 2.1%
Guarumo 16–19 May 2022 2,258 37.9% 30.8% 20.3% 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 2.4% 2.2% 2.5%
CNC 13–19 May 2022 3,860 41% 23.9% 21.9% 4.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.3% 6.6% 1.5%
4,412 35.8% 20.8% 19.1% 4% 0.6% 1% 0.3% 5.7% 2.5% 9.9%
Invamer 13–18 May 2022 1,312 40.6% 27.1% 20.9% 5.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 4.6% 2.71%
Mosqueteros 15–18 May 2022 6,000 44.7% 22.4% 15.8% 6.9% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 7.9% 1.27%
CNC 2–13 May 2022 6,204 38% 23% 16% 7% 1% 1% 0% 6% 2% 6% 1.2%
Pérez withdrew his candidacy on 11 May 2022
TYSE 23 Apr–8 May 2022 8,000 36.6% 21.4% 10.9% 6.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 6.2% 14.4% 2.7%
YanHaas 30 Apr–7 May 2022 1,232 40% 21% 12% 7% 1% 0.3% 0.3% 13% 6% 3.2%
Guarumo 25–29 April 2022 2,132 36.4% 30.6% 12.4% 6.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 5.7% 4.3% 2.5%
Invamer 21–27 April 2022 1,409 43.6% 26.7% 13.9% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 5.7% 2.55%
CNC/Semana 18–21 April 2022 4,599 38% 23.8% 9.6% 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 7.6% 2.1% 8.8% 1.4%
CELAG 1–19 April 2022 3,064 42.6% 21.8% 11.5% 9.2% 1.0% 6.6% 1.4% 5.1% 2.19%
CNC 4–7 April 2022 1,965 34% 23% 12% 9% 2% 1% 0% 0% 4% 2% 12% 2.2%
Guarumo 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 1,865 34% 25% 9.3% 9.5% 2.6% 0.6% 1.6% 0.3% 10.3% 7.4% 2.5%
CNC/Semana 28–31 March 2022 4,206 36.5% 24.5% 10% 8.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 8.1% 2.8% 6.2% 1.5%
YanHaas 14–19 March 2022 1,236 37% 19% 11% 10% 2% 0.3% 0.2% 16% 5% 3.2
CNC/Semana 18–19 March 2022 2,143 32% 23% 10% 10% 3% 1% 0% 5% 2% 13% 2.1%

Polls prior to the finalisation of candidates

Graphical summary

Table of values

2022

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Alejandro Char
Alfredo Saade
Arelis Uriana
Aydeé Lizarazo
Camilo Romero
Carlos Amaya
David Barguil
John Milton Rodríguez
Luis Pérez
Others
No vote
Blank
Margin of error
AtlasIntel 10–12 March 2,376 7.0% 1.9% 11.4% 35.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 4.8% 0.5% 2.4% 11.2% 11.3% 2.4% 2%
Guarumo 28 Feb–4 Mar 2,345 6.4% 3.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 1.4% 7.7% 2.5% 32.7% 3.3% 1.2% 3.4% 5.3% 8.2% 9.1% 4.8% 1.5% 2.5%
CELAG 14 Jan–4 Feb 2,126 11.3% 3.4% 0.1% 2.2% 28.1% 1.0% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 7.2% 11.8% 15.1% 2.19%
CNC 26 Jan–2 Feb 2,206 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 27% 7% 4% 4% 14% 6% 1% 11% 6% 2.1%
YanHaas 25–31 January 1,225 5% 1% 0.1% 0.4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 27% 2% 0.1% 1% 0.1% 3% 1% 4% 12% 7% 19% 3.2%

2021

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Camilo Romero
David Barguil
Dilian Francisca Toro
Enrique Peñalosa
Luis Pérez
María Fernanda Cabal
Paloma Valencia
Rodrigo Lara
Tomás Uribe
Others
Blank
Margin of error
YanHaas 30 Nov–8 Dec 1,230 5% 1% 2% 3% 25% 5% 4% 13% 8% 4% 18% 2.8%
CNC/Semana 26 Nov–7 Dec 4,093 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 2.2% 25.4% 0.6% 3.9% 6.4% 11% 7.3% 17.4% 1.5%
CNC 9–12 November 1,069 5% 1% 1% 2% 5% 22% 3% 1% 1% 5% 1% 4% 3% 6% 5% 19% 7% 3%
Datexco 15–26 October 1,200 6% 1% 3% 6% 26% 5% 4% 3% 7% 10% 11% 9% N/A
CNC 8–14 October 2,012 2.6% 1.3% 1.2% 3% 19.7% 1.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 4.6% 0.9% 0.6% 5.8% 22.5% N/A
CNC 3–8 September 2,019 3% 1% 4% 17% 6% 4% 3% 5% 7% 23% 2.4%
Guarumo 14–16 August 1,367 4.2% 1.2% 8.9% 21.6% 1.6% 1.2% 6.0% 1.4% 3.8% 3.3% 12.7% 7.1% 10.8% 2.5%
CNC 17–22 June 2,077 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 21% 5% 6% 26% 2.4%
CELAG 13 May–8 June 1,945 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 30.3% 6.2% 7.3% 14.7% 3.3% 4.2% 14.3% N/A
Guarumo 19–23 May 1,480 4.8% 8.5% 20.6% 2.3% 2% 2.8% 3% 9.8% 2% 8.3% 20.4% N/A
Guarumo April 1,370 7.6% 9.7% 24.2% 2.3% 2% 2.8% 3% 6.9% 16.9% 4.2 N/A
Invamer April 1,008 6.1% 5.2% 38.3% 4% 3.7% 1.3% 4.4% - 11.8% 15.9% 4.6% 4.6% 5%
CNC 8–18 March 4,435 6% 2% 4% 6% 3% 23% 2% 2% 6% 9% 1% 4% 12% 1% 2% 3% 8% N/A
Datexco 4–15 March 1,200 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 19% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 11% 9% 5% 2.8%

2020

Polling organisation/client Dates conducted Sample
size
Paloma Valencia
Rafael Nieto Loaiza
Tomás Uribe
Blank
Margin of error
Invamer 19–22 November 1,008 5.5% 1.3% 2.1% 6.7% 25.9% 7% 0.6% 7.2% 18.7% 0.6% 20.5% 3.9% 3%
Guarumo 27–30 September 1,257 11.2% 12.1% 13.4% 1.7% 8% 2.1% 1.0% 18.1% N/A
CNC 8 September 809 2% 1% 1% 5% 3% 16% 5% 2% 8% 6% 20% 5% 3% N/A
Guarumo 11–15 August 1,876 9.1% 12.4% 16.5% 5.7% 23.1% N/A
CNC 3–6 August 1,207 5% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% 2% 18% 2% 1% 11% 3% 16% 4%
Invamer 30 July–4 August 1,008 7% 8.9% 32.9% 12.1% 4.3% 11.4% 1.3% 19.9% 2.1% 5%

Second round

Petro vs. Hernández

Polling organisation/client Dates conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro
PHC
Rodolfo Hernández
LIGA
Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
Second round election 19 June 2022 50.42% 47.35% 2.23%
AtlasIntel 8–11 June 2022 4,467 47.5% 50.2% 2.4% 1%
YanHaas 5–10 June 2022 1,234 45% 35% 13% 7% 3.2%
GAD3 30 May–10 June 2022 5,236 47.1% 47.9% 5% 1.4%
Guarumo 6–9 June 2022 2,029 46.5% 48.2% 5.3% 2.5%
GAD3 30 May–9 June 2022 4,834 48.1% 46.8% 5.1% 1.3%
Mosqueteros 7–8 June 2022 6,000 43.83% 44.68% 3.54% 7.95% 1.27%
GAD3 30 May–8 June 2022 4,438 48.5% 46.7% 4.9% 1.5%
Invamer 3–7 June 2022 1,329 47.2% 48.2% 4.7% 2.69%
GAD3 30 May–7 June 2022 4,041 47.8% 47.1% 5.1% 1.6%
GAD3 30 May–6 June 2022 3,240 46.8% 47.8% 5.4% 1.7%
GAD3 30 May–4 June 2022 3,240 46.8% 48.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Guarumo 1–4 June 2022 1,958 43.3% 46.4% 8.4% 1.9% 2.5%
YanHaas 30 May–3 June 2022 1,234 42% 41% 13% 5% 3.2%
GAD3 30 May–3 June 2022 2,840 46.3% 47.9% 5.8% 1.9%
CNC 31 May–2 June 2022 2,172 44.9% 41% 3% 1.7% 9.4% 2.1%
GAD3 2 June 2022 553 45.6% 50.4% 4% 2.1%
GAD3 1 June 2022 555 45.1% 52.3% 2.6% 2.4%
GAD3 30–31 May 2022 1,199 44.8% 52.5% 2.7% 2.9%
CNC 30–31 May 2022 1,200 39% 41% 5% 1% 14% 2.8%
AtlasIntel 17–20 May 2022 2,781 39.8% 48.2% 2%
Guarumo 16–19 May 2022 2,258 45.2% 41.5% 8.6% 4.7% 2.5%
CNC 13–19 May 2022 4,412 40.5% 40.5% 3.7% 9.3% 6% 1.5%
Mosqueteros 15–18 May 2022 6,000 45.3% 35% 19.7% 1.27%
Invamer 13–18 May 2022 1,195 50.0% 47.4% 2.6% 2.83%
YanHaas 30 Apr–7 May 2022 1,232 46% 31% 23% 3.2%
Guarumo 25–29 Apr 2022 2,132 44.5% 37.1% 8.6% 9.8% 2.5%
Invamer 21–27 April 2022 1,243 56% 40.6% 3.4% 2.55
CNC 18–21 April 2022 4,599 44.1% 34.1% 4.9% 11.4% 5.5% 1.4%
CNC 4–7 April 2022 1,965 40% 38% 4% 10% 8% 2.2%
CNC 28–31 March 2022 4,206 42.6% 34.4% 4.5% 12.4% 4.1% 1.5%
YanHaas 14–19 March 2022 1,236 41% 32% 27% 3.2%

Other scenarios

The following charts display matchups involving a candidate who did not qualify for the second round.

Petro vs. Gutiérrez

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro
PHC
Federico Gutiérrez
EPC
Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
AtlasIntel 17–20 May 2022 2,781 45.4% 39.4% 2%
Guarumo 16–19 May 2022 2,258 45.7% 42% 9.2% 3.1% 2.5%
CNC 13–19 May 2022 4,412 44.2% 34.9% 5.2% 10% 5.7% 1.5%
Mosqueteros 15–18 May 2022 6,000 50.9% 30.5% 18.6% 1.27%
Invamer 13–18 May 2022 1,205 52.7% 44.2% 3.1% 2.82%
CNC 2–13 May 2022 6,204 47% 39% 5% 6% 3% 1.2%
YanHaas 30 Apr–7 May 2022 1,232 47% 34% 19% 3.2%
Guarumo 25–29 April 2022 2,132 43.8% 40.9% 8.8% 6.5% 2.5%
Invamer 21–27 April 2022 1,306 52.4% 45.2% 2.4% 2.55%
CNC/Semana 18–21 April 2022 4,599 44.8% 36.9% 5.2% 8% 5.1% 1.4%
CELAG 1–19 April 2022 3,064 51.7% 32.6% 10.4% 5.3% 2.2%
CNC 4–7 April 2022 1,965 41% 39% 6% 7% 7% 2.2%
Guarumo 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 1,865 40.1% 43.5% 7.4% 9% 2.5%
CNC 28–31 March 2022 4,206 43.1% 40.1% 4.4% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5%
YanHaas 14–19 March 2022 1,236 42% 35% 23% 3.2%

Petro vs. Fajardo

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro
PHC
Sergio Fajardo
CCE
Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
AtlasIntel 17–20 May 2022 2,781 41.5% 34.8% 2%
Guarumo 16–19 May 2022 2,258 45% 38.7% 12.3% 4% 2.5%
CNC 13–19 May 2022 4,412 43.6% 32% 5.9% 13% 5.5% 1.5%
Mosqueteros 15–18 May 2022 6,000 50.1% 25.8% 24.1% 1.27%
Invamer 13–18 May 2022 1,125 57.8% 39.0% 3.2% 2.92%
YanHaas 30 Apr–7 May 2022 1,232 46% 29% 24% 3.2%
Guarumo 25–29 April 2022 2,132 44.8% 36% 11.1% 8.1% 2.5%
Invamer 21–27 April 2022 1,215 56.5% 40.4% 3.1% 2.55%
CNC 18–21 April 2022 4,599 43.4% 35.8% 5.3% 10.5% 5% 1.4%
CNC 4–7 April 2022 1,965 39% 38% 6% 10% 7% 2.2%
CNC 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 4,206 41.5% 38.3% 5% 11.2% 4% 1.5%
YanHaas 14–19 March 2022 1,236 41% 35% 24% 3.2%

Petro vs. Betancourt

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro
PHC
Íngrid Betancourt
PVO
Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
AtlasIntel 17–20 May 2022 2,781 46.4% 17.3% 2%
CNC 13–19 May 2022 4,412 46.5% 20.9% 7.5% 19.6% 5.5% 1.5%
CNC 18–21 April 2022 4,599 46.9% 23.2% 7.2% 17.9% 4.8% 1.4%
CNC 30 Mar–1 Apr 2022 4,206 44.7% 26% 7.1% 18.4% 3.3% 1.5%

Coalition primaries

Historic Pact

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Alfredo Saade
Arelis Uriana
Camilo Romero
No vote
Blank
Don't know/No response
Margin of error
Primary election 13 March 2022 0.38% 0.98% 4.06% 14.05% 80.5%
AtlasIntel 10–12 March 2022 2,736 0.1% 1.9% 3.9% 6.2% 85.2% 0.9% 1.9% 3%
Guarumo 24 Feb–4 March 2022 2,345 0.2% 1.8% 5.9% 10.5% 81.6% 2.5%
Invamer 24–28 Feb 2022 1,504 0.3% 1.7% 5.9% 13.5% 78.6% 2.92%
CNC 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 2,206 1% 4% 4% 12% 77% 1% 0.6% 2.1%
CNC 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 4,093 1% 4% 3% 89% 1% 1% 1% 1.5%
Invamer 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 1,200 0% 2.8% 4.5% 7.5% 82.4% 2.7% 0% 3.49%

Team for Colombia

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Aydeé Lizarazo
David Barguil
No vote
Blank
Unsure/no answer
Margin of error
Primary election 13 March 2022 17.72% 6.51% 15.77% 5.8% 54.18%
AtlasIntel 10–12 March 2022 2,736 21.3% 1.8% 14.8% 5.2% 49.3% 4.6% 3.1% 4%
Guarumo 24 Feb–4 Mar 2022 2,345 29.2% 4.2% 21.4% 11.8% 33.4% 2.5%
Invamer 24–28 Feb 2022 1,504 24.7% 12.3% 15.5% 18.7% 28.9% 2.92%
CNC 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 2,206 30% 5% 6% 21% 30% 5% 3% 2.1%
CNC 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 4,093 34% 4% 6% 21% 24% 5% 4% 2% 1.5%
Invamer 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 1,200 26.1% 8.8% 10.6% 22.7% 26.4% 4.3% 1% 3.49%

Hope Center

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Carlos Amaya
No vote
Blank
Unsure/no answer
Margin of error
Primary election 13 March 2022 15.58% 20.89% 7.46% 22.55% 33.5%
AtlasIntel 10–12 March 2022 2,736 17.7% 10.2% 5.2% 13.8% 46.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5%
Guarumo 24 Feb–4 Mar 2022 2,345 21.5% 10.4% 8.5% 22.1% 37.5% 2.5%
Invamer 24–28 Feb 2022 1,504 12.9% 14.9% 10.5% 23.9% 37.8% 2.92%
CNC 26 Jan–2 Feb 2022 2,206 11% 8% 5% 1% 31% 39% 4% 1% 2.1%
CNC 26 Nov–7 Dec 2021 4,093 17% 4% 3% 31% 43% 2% 2% 1.5%
Invamer 26 Nov–1 Dec 2021 1,200 9.5% 5.3% 5.5% 3.1% 32.4% 43.5% 0.7% 3.49%

References

Tags:

Opinion Polling For The 2022 Colombian Presidential Election First roundOpinion Polling For The 2022 Colombian Presidential Election Second roundOpinion Polling For The 2022 Colombian Presidential Election Coalition primariesOpinion Polling For The 2022 Colombian Presidential Election2022 Colombian presidential electionGustavo PetroRodolfo Hernández Suárez

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