2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary

The 2019 Kuomintang presidential primary was held after 22 May 2019 through a series of nationwide opinion polls in order to determine its nominee for the President of the Republic of China in the 2020 presidential election.

2019 Kuomintang presidential primary
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary
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  2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary
Candidate Han Kuo-yu Terry Gou Eric Chu
Percentage 44.81% 27.73% 17.90%

  2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary
Candidate Chou Hsi-wei Chang Ya-chung
Percentage 6.02% 3.54%

KMT nominee before election

Eric Chu

KMT nominee

Han Kuo-yu

Background

Early contenders

In late 2018, the four heavyweights in the Kuomintang, incumbent party chairman and former Vice President Wu Den-yih, former party chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu, former President of the Legislative Yuan Wang Jin-pyng and former President Ma Ying-jeou emerged as the potential candidates for the 2020 presidential election. On 26 November 2018, former Deputy Secretary-General of the Presidential Office and incumbent Taipei City Councillor Lo Chih-chiang became the first candidate who announced his candidacy on Facebook. He later withdrew his candidacy on 7 April 2019.

On 25 December 2018, former Kuomintang chairman and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu announced that he would run in the 2020 presidential race when he stepped down on 25 December 2018 as Mayor of New Taipei City, becoming the first big-name politician to throw his hat in the ring. It was followed by National Taiwan University professor Chang Ya-chung who announced his candidacy on 7 January 2019.

In the December 2018 mayoral elections, the KMT received a massive victory by capturing 15 of 22 municipalities and counties, with former legislator Han Kuo-yu elected as Mayor of Kaohsiung, the deep-green Democratic Progressive Party-held city for the past two decades. The sensations created by Han during the campaign sparked speculations whether he would become the presidential candidate for KMT in 2020. The richest man in Taiwan and the founder and chairman of electronic company Foxconn Terry Gou was also reported to be interested in running in the election as a pan-Blue candidate.

On 27 February, the party passed a resolution decided its primary to be based on a 70-30 weighing of public opinion polls and party member votes, although it has not ruled out the possibility of drafting the strongest candidate in an all-out effort to win back power, which was seen to be reserved Han Kuo-yu, the party's best performing candidate in the polls. On 7 March, Wan Jyng-ping announced his candidacy.

Controversies over the primary method continued, as party chairman Wu Den-yih proposed to only allow KMT members to decide the party's presidential candidate which drew criticism, with some questioning whether he aimed to rig the game for himself. Wu later declined to run on 11 April.

Gou runs

Terry Gou announced his presidential bid by joining the KMT presidential primary on 17 April, citing sea goddess Matsu instructing him to come out and do good for the suffering of the people, and bring peace and prosperity to Taiwan in his dream. As his party membership was frozen after he had not paid the annual fee so a long time, Wu restored Guo's KMT membership by awarding him an honorary member certificate in order to enable him to run in the primary. Guo also stated that he would not accept to be drafted to run.

Han Kuo-yu, Gou's potential rival, announced on 23 April that he was "willing to take responsibility" for the development of Taiwan but was "unable" to participate in the party's primary in its current form. He expressed his disapproval of the "closed-door negotiations" within the party and called for reform. Han's announcement sparked internal strife between Han supporters and the party authorities. In order to settle the differences, the party adopted a resolution to put in place special guidelines to include all its presidential hopefuls, including Han, in its primary on the next day, and also switch the primary method from 70-30 weighing of public opinion polls and party member votes to fully being determined by opinion polls.

Candidates

Declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions Announced Ref
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Eric Chu
June 7, 1961 (age 62)
Taoyuan County, Taiwan
Mayor of New Taipei (2016–2018; 2012–2015) December 25, 2018
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Chang Ya-chung
December 1954 (age 69)
Taichung City, Taiwan
Professor of the National Taiwan University January 7, 2019
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Chou Hsi-wei
March 11, 1958 (age 66)
Changhua County, Taiwan
Magistrate of Taipei County (2005–2010) February 26, 2019
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Terry Gou
October 8, 1950 (age 73)
Taipei County, Taiwan
Founder and Chairman of Foxconn April 17, 2019
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Han Kuo-yu
June 17, 1957 (age 66)
Taipei County, Taiwan
Mayor of Kaohsiung (2018–present) June 5, 2019

Withdrawn candidates

The candidates in this section have withdrawn or suspended their campaigns.

Candidate Born Experience Campaign Ref
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Lo Chih-chiang
March 26, 1970 (age 54)
Hualien City, Taiwan
Taipei City Councillor (2018–present) November 26, 2018
Withdrawn: April 7, 2019
2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary 
Wang Jin-pyng
March 17, 1941 (age 83)
Takao Prefecture, Japanese Taiwan
Member of the Legislative Yuan (1976–present) March 7, 2019
Withdrawn: June 6, 2019

Declined candidates

Schedule

On 15 May, Kuomintang Central Standing Committee decided to change the format of the primary to a single nationwide opinion poll and to name its candidate by late July. The public opinion poll would be commissioned to five different polling institutions, each with a sample size of not less than 3,000 respondents. A list of candidates will be announced on 10 June, followed by a series of televised forums across Taiwan from 23 June to 4 July in which the candidates would introduce their platforms. The nationwide opinion poll would be held from 5 to 15 July and the results would be released the next day. After that, the results will be submitted to the Central Standing Committee on 17 July for approval. The presidential candidate would be formally announced on 28 July at its national congress.

The Kuomintang announced five primary contestants on June 10, 2019: Chang Ya-chung, Chou Hsi-wei, Eric Chu, Terry Gou, and Han Kuo-yu.

Timeline

Primary winner
Defeated in primary
Withdrawn
Candidates announced
Debates
Polling starts
Polling ends
Results announced
Wang Jin-pyngLo Chih-chiangHan Kuo-yuTerry GouEric ChuChou Hsi-weiChang Ya-chung2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary

Opinion polling

Date Pollster Sample size Ma Chu Wang Wu Han Gou Chou Chang
9 July 2019 Trend Poll 3,000 14.9 34.3 29.5 1.4 0.8
9 July 2019 EtToday 2,271 11.9 28.0 29.5 0.7 2.3
21 June 2019 EtToday 5,021 9.9 28.2 25.7
18 June 2019 EtToday 4,047 9.0 31.1 24.7
11 June 2019 EtToday 4,047 7.1 29.5 24.4
4 June 2019 Trend Poll 1,287 17.4 35.2 28.4 1.2 0.9
28 May 2019 Formsa 1,086 11.6 7.5 22.0 17.8 0.9 0.1
16 May 2019 Fount Media 1,075 17.4 15.8 30.6 22.2
13 May 2019 EtToday 2,875 8.2 7.6 29.3 22.8
30 April 2019 China Times 1,004 7.0 11.0 34.2 16.3
29 April 2019 TVBS 1,090 10.0 14.0 37.0 20.0
25 April 2019 TVBS 1,222 11.0 14.0 38.0 18.0
21 April 2019 ETtoday 7,868 6.5 7.7 26.2 24.0
21 April 2019 UDN 1,178 13.0 11.0 26.0 19.0
2 April 2019 Fount Media 1,079 18.6 19.1 25.4 22.9
23.6 22.0 32.2
18 December 2018 TPOF 1,082 54.3 25.5 6.5
54.3 4.0 25.0 2.5

Results

Results of the primary were announced on 15 July 2019. Han Kuo-yu received 44.805 percent of the vote, followed by Terry Gou at 27.73%, and Eric Chu's 17.90%. Both Chou Hsi-wei and Chang Ya-chung polled in the single digits, at 6.02% and 3.54% respectively.

2019 Kuomintang Republic of China presidential primary results
Candidates Place Result
Han Kuo-yu Nominated 44.81%
Terry Gou 2nd 27.73%
Eric Chu 3rd 17.90%
Chou Hsi-wei 4th 6.02%
Chang Ya-chung 5th 3.54%

See also

References

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2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary Background2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary Candidates2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary Schedule2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary Opinion polling2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary Results2019 Kuomintang Presidential Primary

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