2018 United States Senate Election In New York
The 2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018.
Incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with over 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.
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| Turnout | 47.99% | |||||||||||||||||||
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   Gillibrand: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Farley: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became the Democratic nominee.
Candidates
Nominee
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator
Failed to file
- Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon
Declined
- Chelsea Clinton, daughter of former senator Hillary Clinton
- Andrew Cuomo, incumbent New York Governor
- Caroline Kennedy, former United States Ambassador to Japan, daughter of former president John F. Kennedy and member of the Kennedy family
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur (ran for Democratic presidential nomination in 2020)
Republican primary
The Republican Party had nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.
Candidates
Nominee
- Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive
Failed to file
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate
- Patrick John Hahn, civic activist
- Rafael Arden Jones Sr.
- David A. Webber
Declined
- Chris Gibson, former U.S. Representative
- Joseph Holland, former Commissioner of the Department of Housing and Community Renewal (running for Governor)
General election
Endorsements
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)
- Individuals
- Amy Schumer, actress
- Organizations
- AFL-CIO
- CSEA
- EMILY's List
- End Citizens United
- Giffords
- Human Rights Campaign
- National Organization for Women
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund
- New York State United Teachers
- PSC (Professional Staff Congress) CUNY
- Sierra Club
- Working Families
- Newspapers
Chele Farley (R)
- U.S. President
- U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator (R-NY)
- U.S. Representatives
- Chris Collins, U.S. Representative (R-NY-27)
- Dan Donovan, U.S. Representative (R-NY-11)
- John Faso, U.S. Representative (R-NY-19)
- John Katko, U.S. Representative (R-NY-24)
- Peter King, U.S. Representative (R-NY-2)
- Tom Reed, U.S. Representative (R-NY-23)
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (R-NY-21)
- Claudia Tenney, U.S. Representative (R-NY-22)
- Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative (R-NY-1)
- Governors
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas
- George Pataki, former Governor of New York
- Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York City
- Sean Hannity, conservative talk radio host and host of Hannity
- Organizations
- Crown Heights PAC
- Newspapers
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe D | June 7, 2018 |
†Highest rating given
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | Chele Chiavacci Farley (R) | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 60% | 32% | – | 8% |
| Siena College | October 28 – November 1, 2018 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 58% | 35% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 10–16, 2018 | 852 | ± 4.4% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 8% |
| Siena College | September 20–27, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.9% | 61% | 29% | 0% | 9% |
| Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) | August 29–30, 2018 | 2,783 | ± 1.9% | 51% | 36% | – | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–16, 2018 | 934 | ± 4.1% | 57% | 30% | 1% | 10% |
| Siena College | June 4–7, 2018 | 745 | ± 3.7% | 61% | 28% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | April 26 – May 1, 2018 | 1,076 | ± 3.7% | 58% | 23% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | April 8–12, 2018 | 692 | ± 4.3% | 58% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
| Siena College | March 11–16, 2018 | 772 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 24% | 0% | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 3,755,489 | 62.02% | -4.36% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 160,128 | 2.64% | -1.12% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 99,325 | 1.64% | -0.43% | |
| Women's Equality | Kirsten Gillibrand | 41,989 | 0.69% | N/A | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,056,931 | 67.00% | -5.21% | |
| Republican | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,730,439 | 28.58% | +5.86% | |
| Conservative | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 246,171 | 4.07% | +0.46% | |
| Reform | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 21,610 | 0.35% | N/A | |
| Total | Chele Chiavacci Farley | 1,998,220 | 33.00% | +6.66% | |
| Total votes | 6,055,151 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cattaraugus (largest municipality: Olean)
- Chautauqua (largest municipality: Jamestown)
- Chemung (largest municipality: Elmira)
- Chenango (largest municipality: Norwich)
- Delaware (largest municipality: Sidney)
- Essex (largest municipality: Ticonderoga)
- Fulton (largest municipality: Gloversville)
- Genesee (largest municipality: Batavia)
- Greene (largest municipality: Catskill)
- Hamilton (largest municipality: Long Lake)
- Herkimer (largest municipality: German Flatts)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Le Ray)
- Lewis (largest municipality: Lowville)
- Livingston (largest municipality: Geneseo)
- Madison (largest municipality: Oneida)
- Montgomery (largest municipality: Amsterdam)
- Niagara (largest municipality: Niagara Falls)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Oswego (largest municipality: Oswego)
- Putnam (largest municipality: Lake Carmel)
- Steuben (largest municipality: Corning)
- Schoharie (largest municipality: Cobleskill)
- Schuyler (largest municipality: Watkins Glen)
- Tioga (largest municipality: Waverly)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Newark)
- Yates (largest municipality: Penn Yan)
References
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites
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