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Nationwide Opinion Polling For The 2016 United States Presidential Election

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election.

The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016, despite losing the popular vote while winning the electoral college. Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election. Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of November 8, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary
Clinton
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gary
Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points)
Two-way 270 to Win 47.2% 43.6% — 3.6
BBC 48.0% 44.0% 4.0
HuffPost Pollster 47.3% 42.0% 5.3
New York Times 45.9% 42.8% 3.1
Real Clear Politics 46.8% 43.6% 3.2
TPM Polltracker 48.8% 43.9% 4.9
Three-way FiveThirtyEight 45.7% 41.8% 4.8% — 3.9
HuffPost Pollster 45.7% 40.8% 5.0% 4.9
New York Times 45.4% 42.3% 5.0% 3.1
TPM Polltracker 46.0% 44.1% 4.9% 1.9
Four-way 270 to Win 45.6% 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1
Real Clear Politics 45.5% 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3
CNN Poll of Polls 46.0% 42.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0
TPM Polltracker 46.6% 43.8% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8
Election results (popular vote) 48.2% 46.1% 3.3% 1.1% 2.1

Individual polls

Two-way race

After convention nominations

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter November 1–7, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,728 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Bloomberg News/Selzer November 4–6, 2016 46% 43% 3 799 ± 3.5%
ABC News/Washington Post November 3–6, 2016 49% 46% 3 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 3–6, 2016 43% 42% 1 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters November 2–6, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times November 2–6, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 51% 44% 7 70,194 ± 1.0%
CCES/YouGov October 4 – November 6, 2016 43% 39% 4 84,292 ±%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post November 2–5, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 2–5, 2016 45% 44% 1 903 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter October 30 – November 5, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 30 – November 5, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,988 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post November 1–4, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 1–4, 2016 46% 43% 3 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 31 – November 4, 2016 44% 40% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter October 29 – November 4, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 29 – November 4, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,987 ± 4.5%
Fox News November 1–3, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist November 1–3, 2016 46% 44% 2 940 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,021 ± 2.6%
ABC News/Washington Post October 31 – November 3, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 30 – November 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 898 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter October 28 – November 3, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 30 – November 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,858 ± 2.6%
IBD/TIPP October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter October 27 – November 2, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 29 – November 1, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times October 28 – November 1, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,333 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,772 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist October 30 – November 1, 2016 48% 45% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter October 26 – November 1, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 26 – November 1, 2016 42% 48% 6 3,004 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 28–31, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,182 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult October 29–30, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,772 ± 2.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 27–30, 2016 52% 47% 5 2,075 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 27–30, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 26–30, 2016 44% 39% 5 1,264 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 25–30, 2016 45% 43% 2 993 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter October 24–30, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 24–30, 2016 51% 44% 7 40,816 ± 1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 26–29, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 24–29, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,039 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter October 23–29, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult October 27–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 23–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,013 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post October 24–27, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,148 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 22–27, 2016 45% 42% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters October 21–27, 2016 42% 36% 6 1,627 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 21–27, 2016 44% 46% 2 3,248 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 23–26, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,150 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist October 22–26, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,376 ± 3.1%
IBD/TIPP October 21–26, 2016 44% 42% 2 945 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter October 20–26, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
Fox News October 22–25, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,221 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 22–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,135 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center October 20–25, 2016 50% 43% 7 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP October 20–25, 2016 43% 41% 2 921 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter October 19–25, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 19–25, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,145 ± 4.5%
CNBC October 21–24, 2016 47% 37% 10 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News October 21–24, 2016 51% 43% 8 1,119 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner October 21–24, 2016 53% 41% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK October 20–24, 2016 54% 41% 13 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University October 20–24, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 20–24, 2016 43% 37% 6 1,170 ± 3.3%
IBD/TIPP October 19–24, 2016 43% 42% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News October 20–23, 2016 53% 41% 12 1,155 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC October 20–23, 2016 51% 45% 6 779 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP October 18–23, 2016 42% 42% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 17–23, 2016 50% 44% 6 32,225 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter October 17–23, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
ABC News October 20–22, 2016 53% 41% 12 874 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP October 17–22, 2016 42% 43% 1 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP October 16–21, 2016 42% 42% Tied 791 ± 3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult October 19–20, 2016 46% 40% 6 1,395 ± 3.0%
American Research Group October 17–20, 2016 49% 42% 7 1,006 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 15–20, 2016 43% 41% 2 789 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times October 14–20, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,001 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 14–20, 2016 44% 40% 4 1,640 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 14–19, 2016 43% 41% 2 779 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University October 17–18, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,007 ± 3.1%
YouGov/The Economist October 15–18, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,300 ± 4.0%
IBD/TIPP October 13–18, 2016 44% 41% 3 782 ± 3.6%
Fox News October 15–17, 2016 49% 42% 7 912 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics October 14–17, 2016 50% 41% 9 1,006 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters October 13–17, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,190 ± 3.2%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic October 12–17, 2016 51% 36% 15 692 ±4.4%
UPI/CVoter October 11–17, 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University October 14–16, 2016 53% 41% 12 805 ± 3.5%
CBS News October 12–16, 2016 51% 40% 11 1,411 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 10–16, 2016 51% 43% 8 24,804 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter October 10–16, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 13–15, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,737 ± 2.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 51% 41% 10 905 ±3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post October 10–13, 2016 50% 46% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,001 ±3.1%
George Washington University October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter October 7–13, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
Fox News October 10–12, 2016 49% 41% 8 917 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 10, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,757 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8–10, 2016 50% 40% 10 900 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,363 ± 2.3%
UPI/CVoter October 4–10, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center September 27 – October 10, 2016 53% 44% 9 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8–9, 2016 52% 38% 14 422 ± 4.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 3–9, 2016 51% 44% 7 23,329 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter October 3–9, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 8, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,390 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist October 7–8, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,300 ± 4.2%
Morning Consult October 5–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,775 ± 2.0%
Quinnipiac University October 5–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,064 ± 3.0%
Fox News October 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 896 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 30 – October 6, 2016 43% 38% 5 1,695 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 30 – October 6, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 28 – October 4, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 28 – October 4, 2016 43% 47% 4 2,369 ± 4.5%
YouGov/The Economist October 1–3, 2016 48% 43% 5 911 ± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters September 29 – October 3, 2016 44% 37% 7 1,928 ± 2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult September 30 – October 2, 2016 46% 39% 7 1,778 ± 2.0%
Farleigh Dickinson/SSRS September 28 – October 2, 2016 50% 40% 10 788 ± 4.4%
CBS News/New York Times September 28 – October 2, 2016 49% 43% 6 1,501 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,501 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 26 – October 2, 2016 50% 44% 6 26,925 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter September 26 – October 2, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 24–30, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,526 ± 4.5%
Fox News September 27–29, 2016 49% 44% 5 911 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 23–29, 2016 43% 38% 5 2,501 ± 2.0%
UPI/CVoter September 23–29, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters September 27–28, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,336 ± 3.1%
Echelon Insights September 26–27, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,833 ±%
Morning Consult September 26–27, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,253 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 21–27, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 22–26, 2016 44% 38% 6 1,041 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University September 22–25, 2016 47% 46% 1 1,115 ± 2.9%
Monmouth University September 22–25, 2016 49% 46% 3 729 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 19–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 13,598 ± 1.1%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 19–25, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,726 ± 4.5%
UPI/CVoter September 19–25, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult September 22–24, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,712 ± 2.0%
Bloomberg/Selzer September 21–24, 2016 46% 46% Tied 1,002 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post September 19–22, 2016 49% 47% 2 651 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters September 16–22, 2016 41% 37% 4 1,559 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 15–21, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,623 ± 2.3%
American Research Group September 17–20, 2016 47% 44% 3 990 ± 3.2%
McClatchy/Marist September 15–20, 2016 48% 41% 7 758 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 14–20, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,629 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist September 18–19, 2016 45% 44% 1 936 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–19, 2016 48% 41% 7 922 ± 3.23%
Ipsos/Reuters September 15–19, 2016 39% 39% Tied 1,111 ± 3.4%
Associated Press/GFK September 15–19, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,251 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 13–19, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,524 ± 2.2%
UPI/CVoter September 12–18, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 12–18, 2016 50% 45% 5 13,230 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter September 10–16, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 9–15, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 9–15, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,579 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 9–15, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,497 ± 2.8%
Fox News September 11–14, 2016 45% 46% 1 867 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 8–14, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 8–14, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,499 ± 3.1%
YouGov/Economist September 10–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,087 ± 4.0%
CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,433 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University September 8–13, 2016 48% 43% 5 960 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter September 7–13, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 7–13, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,550 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters September 8–12, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,127 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter September 6–12, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
Pew Research August 16 – September 12, 2016 52% 44% 8 3,941 ± 2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 5–11, 2016 48% 44% 4 16,220 ± 1.1%
UPI/CVoter September 5–11, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 44% 43% 1 1,710 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post September 5–8, 2016 51% 43% 8 642 ± 4.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times September 2–8, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,653 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter September 2–8, 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter September 1–7, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist September 4–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,077 ± 4.7%
UPI/CVoter August 31 – September 6, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 2 1,084 ± 3.5%
UPI/CVoter August 30 – September 5, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC September 1–4, 2016 48% 49% 1 786 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 29 – September 4, 2016 48% 42% 6 32,226 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter August 29 – September 4, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 28 – September 3, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult September 1–2, 2016 42% 40% 2 2,001 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 40% 1 1,804 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP August 26 – September 1, 2016 44% 43% 1 861 ± 3.4%
Fox News August 28–30, 2016 48% 42% 6 1,011 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 24–30, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 25–29, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,404 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today August 24–29, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 23–29, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times August 23–29, 2016 42% 45% 3 2,500 ± 2.5%
Public Policy Polling August 26–28, 2016 48% 43% 5 881 ± 3.3%
Monmouth University August 25–28, 2016 49% 42% 7 689 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 22–28, 2016 48% 42% 6 24,104 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter August 22–28, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 21–27, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult August 24–26, 2016 43% 40% 3 2,007 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters August 22–25, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,154 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters August 20–24, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,049 ± 2.9%
UPI/CVoter August 18–24, 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University August 18–24, 2016 51% 41% 10 1,496 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times August 18–24, 2016 44% 44% Tied 2,434 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist August 19–23, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,080 ± 4.1%
UPI/CVoter August 17–23, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 18–22, 2016 45% 33% 12 1,115 ± 3%
UPI/CVoter August 16–22, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 15–21, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 15–21, 2016 50% 42% 8 17,451 ± 1.1%
American Research Group August 17–20, 2016 47% 42% 5 994 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult August 16–20, 2016 44% 38% 6 2,001 ± 2%
UPI/CVoter August 14–20, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times August 14–20, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,385 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters August 13–17, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,049 ± 2.8%
UPI/CVoter August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 11–15, 2016 41% 35% 6 1,132 ± 3%
Normington, Petts & Associates August 9–15, 2016 50% 40% 10 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult August 11–14, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 8–14, 2016 50% 41% 9 15,179 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter August 7–14, 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 7–13, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 3–10, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 6–10, 2016 42% 36% 6 974 ± 2.9%
YouGov/Economist August 6–9, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,300 ± 4.2%
UPI/CVoter August 3–9, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics August 5–8, 2016 50% 44% 6 749 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters August 4–8, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,152 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter August 2–8, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
PSRAI August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 6 798 ± 3.9%
UPI/CVoter August 1–7, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 1–7, 2016 51% 41% 10 11,480 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter July 31 – August 6, 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 31 – August 6, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,146 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult August 4–5, 2016 46% 37% 9 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post August 1–4, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,002 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 39% 3 1,154 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter July 29 – August 4, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP July 29 – August 4, 2016 46% 39% 7 921 ± 3.4%
McClatchy/Marist August 1–3, 2016 48% 33% 15 983 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal July 31 – August 3, 2016 47% 38% 9 800 ± 3.46%
Ipsos/Reuters July 30 – August 3, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,072 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 28 – August 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,175 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter July 27 – August 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%
Fox News July 31 – August 2, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,022 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 27 – August 2, 2016 44% 45% 1 2,186 ± 2.2%
YouGov/Economist July 31 – August 1, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,300 ± 4%
Ipsos/Reuters July 28 – August 1, 2016 43% 35% 8 1,289 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 26 – August 1, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,171 ± 2.5%
CNN/ORC July 29–31, 2016 52% 43% 9 1,003 ± 3%
CBS News July 29–31, 2016 47% 41% 6 1,131 ± 3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 25–31, 2016 50% 42% 8 12,742 ± 1.2%
Morning Consult July 29–30, 2016 43% 40% 3 1,931 ± 2%
Public Policy Polling July 29–30, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,276 ± 2.7%

Polls conducted in 2016

Polls in 2016
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading
by % 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Ipsos/Reuters July 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 1,290 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters July 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% 2 963 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 47% 7 2,150 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 4.5%
Morning Consult July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 2,502 ± 2%
CBS News July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,118 ± 4%
CNN/ORC July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% 3 882 ± 3.5%
University of Delaware July 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 818 ± 4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 12,931 ± 1.2%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 2,083 ± 3%
Echelon Insights July 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 912 ± ?%
Ipsos/Reuters July 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% 3 1,036 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 2,010 ± %
American Research Group July 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 990 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters July 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% 4 1,522 ± 2.9%
Rasmussen Reports July 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 900 ± 3.27%
Economist/YouGov July 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 925 ± 4.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 11–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 9,436 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 2,002 ± 2%
CNN/ORC July 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 872 ± 3.5%
icitizen July 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± %
ABC News/Washington Post July 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,003 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times July 8–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,608 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports July 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
CBS News/New York Times July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 1,358 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov July 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,300 ± 4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 7,869 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,001 ± 2%
McClatchy-Marist July 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,053 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters July 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% 11 1,345 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters July 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 1,441 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov July 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 3.9%
Morning Consult June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 27 – July 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 10,072 ± 1.3%
Ipsos/Reuters June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9.4 1,080 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports June 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,000 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today June 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 5.2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters June 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% 10 1,247 ± 2.8%
IBD/TIPP June 24–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 837 ± 3.5%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 2,162 ± 2.1%
Public Policy Polling June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 947 ± 3.2%
Fox News June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 1,017 ± 3%
Morning Consult June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,998 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University June 21–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,610 ± 2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 5,818 ± 1.8%
Pew Research June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 1,655 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters June 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 1,201 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post June 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 39% 12 1,001 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal June 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters June 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 1,339 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov June 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 1,011 ± 4.2%
American Research Group June 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 987 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,891 ± 2%
CNN/ORC June 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 891 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University June 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 803 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 13–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 16,135 ± 1.1%
Reuters/Ipsos June 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 35% 10.7 1,133 ± 3.4%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing June 16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 2,197 ± 2.1%
Rasmussen Reports June 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters June 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% 9 1,323 ± 2.8%
CNBC June 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 801 ± 3.5%
CBS News June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% 6 1,048 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 9,355 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 39% 13
Morning Consult June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% 5 1,362 ± 3%
Fox News June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,004 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 38% 11
Ipsos/Reuters June 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% 8 1,716 ± 2.7%
Rasmussen Reports June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Morning Consult June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 4,002 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
YouGov/Economist June 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 1,636 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
IBD/TIPP May 31 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 828 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
NBC News/SurveyMonkey May 30 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 9,240 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Rasmussen Reports May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% 1 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters May 28 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 1,332 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 4,002 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,561 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
NBC News/SurveyMonkey May 23–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% 2 12,969 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Ipsos/Reuters May 21–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,576 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports May 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist May 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Morning Consult May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% 3 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey May 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 14,513 ± 1%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
American Research Group May 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tie 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 829 ± 3.5%
Schoen Consulting May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal May 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Rasmussen Reports May 17–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters May 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,677 ± 2.7%
Fox News May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,021 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CBS News/New York Times May 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,300 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
McLaughlin May 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,000 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,971 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
NBC News/SurveyMonkey May 9–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 12,507 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Ipsos/Reuters May 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 1,611 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters May 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 1,289 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,222 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 39% 11
Ipsos/Reuters April 30 – May 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 1,277 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult April 29 – May 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,976 ± 2.0%
CNN/ORC April 28 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 41% 13 1,001 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports April 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports April 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 1,000 ± 3.0%
GWU/Battleground April 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal April 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 40% 12
Fox News April 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,021 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 39% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 43% 4
CBS News April 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,098 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 41% 5
IBD/TIPP March 28 – April 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 902 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 45% 7
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 42% 3
McClatchy-Marist March 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 1,297 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 51% 9
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 41% 11
Public Policy Polling March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,083 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 32% 13
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 45% Paul Ryan 38% 7
Bernie Sanders 48% Mitt Romney 31% 17
Bloomberg Politics March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 815 ± 5.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Quinnipiac University March 16–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 1,451 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% John Kasich 45% 1
CBS News/New York Times March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,058 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
CNN/ORC March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 925 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 51% 6
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 38% 20
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 42% 13
Bernie Sanders 51% John Kasich 45% 6
Monmouth University March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 848 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 45% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% 13 1,200 ± 2.83%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 37% 18
ABC News/Washington Post March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 864 ± 4%
Rasmussen Reports February 29 – March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,000 ± 3%
CNN/ORC February 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 44% 8 920 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 43% 12
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 40% 17
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 45% 8
Fox News February 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,031 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Suffolk University/USA Today February 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Quinnipiac University February 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Marco Rubio 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 41% 4
Quinnipiac University February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,125 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Public Policy Polling February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,236
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CNN/ORC January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,002 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Morning Consult January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 39% 4 4060 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 41% 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal January 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 800 ± 3.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Morning Consult January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 2173 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 40% 4
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network January 10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 51% 2 2416 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 52% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Carly Fiorina 50% Tied
Fox News January 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 1006 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 50% 9

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls in 2015
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports December 22–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 36% 1 1000 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC December 17–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 927 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 49% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 48% 2
Ipsos/Reuters December 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 27% 12 1627 ± 2.8–3.7%
Emerson College Polling Society December 17–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 754 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Quinnipiac University December 16–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 1140 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Fox News December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 1013 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 44% 2
Public Policy Polling December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1267 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 39% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% Ben Carson 41% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Morning Consult December 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 38% 8 4038 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 36% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 9
ABC News/Washington Post December 10–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 851 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal December 6–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1000 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult December 3–7, 2015
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2047 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 40% Tied
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 40% 2
USA Today/Suffolk University December 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 1000 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 38% 13 1007 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 35% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Carly Fiorina 32% 19
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist November 15 – December 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 41% 11 2360 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 44% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 47% 1
CNN/ORC November 27 – December 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 1020 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 47% 2
Quinnipiac University November 23–30, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3 1453 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Ben Carson 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
ABC News/Washington Post November 16–19, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1004 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Fox News November 16–19, 2015
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 46% 5 1016 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 50% 8
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Public Policy Polling November 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 41% 2 1360 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 40% Carly Fiorina 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
McClatchy-Marist October 29 – November 4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 41% 15 540 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 43% 10
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 43% 10
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% Ben Carson 47% 2
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Jeb Bush 41% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Carly Fiorina 39% 14
Quinnipiac University October 29 – November 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 50% 10 1144 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Morning Consult October 29 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 39% 6 2350 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 36% 10
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA October 28 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 2712 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Carly Fiorina 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 50% 9
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 48% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 25–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 847 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult October 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 1689 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 38% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 37% 7
Saint Leo University Polling Institute October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 1005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 34% 11
Rasmussen Reports October 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 38% 2 1000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Carly Fiorina 34% 6
Morning Consult October 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 37% 9 2017 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 34% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 45% 2 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Emerson College Polling Society October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 783 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
CNN/ORC October 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 956 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Ben Carson 48% 2
Joe Biden 53% Donald Trump 43% 10
Joe Biden 52% Ben Carson 44% 8
Morning Consult October 8–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2002 ± 2%
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 37% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 36% 5
Fox News October 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Carly Fiorina 42% 3 1004 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% Ben Carson 50% 11
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 42% 4
Joe Biden 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Joe Biden 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Public Policy Polling October 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1 1338 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 48% 4
Joe Biden 42% Ben Carson 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 35% Ben Carson 46% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 42% 1
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 38% Carly Fiorina 44% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Joe Biden 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 20–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 1000 ± 3.10%
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 45% 1
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 35% 21
Joe Biden 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Joe Biden 47% Carly Fiorina 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 36% 16
Quinnipiac University September 17–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1574 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
Joe Biden 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 49% 10
Bernie Sanders 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Fox News September 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1013 ± 3%
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist August 26 – September 9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 44% 6 1115 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Joe Biden 50% Marco Rubio 42% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 38% 18
Joe Biden 50% Jeb Bush 42% 8
Joe Biden 54% Ted Cruz 41% 13
ABC News/Washington Post September 7–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1003 ± 4%
CNN/ORC September 4–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 49% 2 1012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 51% 5
Joe Biden 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Joe Biden 54% Donald Trump 44% 10
Joe Biden 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
SurveyUSA September 2–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5 1000 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 44% 4
Joe Biden 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Al Gore 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
Public Policy Polling August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied 1254 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 39% Carly Fiorina 38% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ben Carson 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 41% 1
Joe Biden 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3
Fox News August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 40% 7 1008 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Morning Consult August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 2029 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing August 5, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 1535 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 52% Ben Carson 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 54% Carly Fiorina 46% 8
McClatchy-Marist July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 964 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 53% Jim Gilmore 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Lindsey Graham 35% 17
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 52% Bobby Jindal 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% George Pataki 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 41% 7
Quinnipiac University July 23–28, 2015 Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1 1,644 ± 2.4%
Joe Biden 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Joe Biden 43% Scott Walker 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 37% 8
Bernie Sanders 37% Scott Walker 42% 5
CNN/ORC July 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 46% 5 898 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Scott Walker 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 59% Donald Trump 38% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Scott Walker 43% 5
Public Policy Polling July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,087 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 37% Jeb Bush 44% 7
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 37% 10
Bernie Sanders 39% Scott Walker 40% 1
ABC News/Washington Post July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 44% 6 815 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC June 26–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,017 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 35% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% Scott Walker 40% 17
Zogby Analytics June 23–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 33% 9 1,341 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 33% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 32% 11
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 33% 10
Fox News June 21–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Michael Bloomberg 38% 6 1,005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal June 14–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Scott Walker 37% 14
Public Policy Polling June 11–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,129 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Lincoln Chafee 27% Scott Walker 39% 12
Martin O'Malley 31% Scott Walker 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 32% Scott Walker 40% 8
Jim Webb 28% Scott Walker 39% 11
CNN/ORC May 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 43% 8 1,025 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 43% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 46% 3
ABC News/Washington Post May 28–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 836 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University May 19–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 1,711 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 32% 18
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 38% 8
Fox News May 9–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1 1,006 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Carly Fiorina 37% 12
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal April 26–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 40% 10
Joe Biden 40% Jeb Bush 48% 8
The Economist/YouGov April 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 34% 12 854 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 34% 12
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 34% 14
Fox News April 19–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Quinnipiac University April 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,353 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
CNN/ORC April 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Jeb Bush 39% 17 1,018 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ben Carson 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Mike Huckabee 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 59% Scott Walker 37% 22
Rasmussen Reports April 9 & 12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 38% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Fox News March 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 1,025 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
Public Policy Polling March 26–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 989 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Joe Biden 40% Scott Walker 46% 6
Elizabeth Warren 39% Scott Walker 43% 4
ABC News/Washington Post March 26–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 ? ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 40% 14
CNN/ORC March 13–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 40% 15 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 43% 11
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 42% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Scott Walker 40% 15
McClatchy-Marist March 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Perry 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 44% 4
Quinnipiac University February 26 – March 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1,286 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Rasmussen Reports February 28 – March 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 36% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Public Policy Polling February 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 40% 10 691 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 40% 8
Joe Biden 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Elizabeth Warren 41% Jeb Bush 43% 2
Fox News January 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied
Public Policy Polling January 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 861 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 42% 3
ABC News/Washington Post January 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 843 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 40% 15
The Economist/YouGov January 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 32% 11 1,000 ± 4.8%
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research January 5–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 40% 12 950 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6

Polls conducted in 2014

Polls in 2014
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC December 18–21 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,011 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 35% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Chris Christie 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 35% 25
Hillary Clinton 59% Mike Huckabee 38% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 41% 15
Fox News December 7–9 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
McClatchy-Marist December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 923 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 37% 6 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 36% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 33% 13
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 37% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 39% 6
Quinnipiac University November 18–23 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,623 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 42% 4
McClatchy-Marist September 24–29 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 42% 11 884 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 43% 9
McClatchy-Marist August 4–7 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 806 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Fox News July 20–22 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 39% 13 1,057 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
CNN/ORC July 18–20 Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 899 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University June 24–30 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 1,446 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 41% 7
Rasmussen June 14–17 & 20–21 Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 38% 7 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 33% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 36% 14
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. June 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9 723
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Saint Leo University May 28 – June 4 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 35% 18 802 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 30% 24
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 31% 22
ABC News/Washington Post May 29 – June 1 Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 43% 10 1,002 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling June 2 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7 735 ± 3.6%
ABC News/Washington Post April 24–27 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 855 ± 3.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University April 21–27 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 33% 16 1,051 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 36% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 38% 8
Fox News April 13–15 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 42% 9 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 42% 9
McClatchy-Marist April 7–10 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 39% 16 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 43% 8
Public Policy Polling March 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 1,152 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 43% 5
Joe Biden 41% Mike Huckabee 46% 5
Elizabeth Warren 33% Mike Huckabee 44% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. March 7–10 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 39% 13 678 ± >3.1%
Rasmussen March 4–5 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 33% 14 1,000 ± 3%
Fox News March 2–4 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 38% 13 1,002 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
McClatchy-Marist February 4–9 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 38% 20 970 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 62% Sarah Palin 35% 27
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9
Hillary Clinton 58% Marco Rubio 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
CNN/ORC January 31 – February 2 Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 37% 20 900 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 57% Rand Paul 39% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Paul Ryan 40% 15
Public Policy Polling January 23–26 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 845 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 34% Chris Christie 43% 9
ABC News/Washington Post January 20–23 Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12 873 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University January 15–19 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,933 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
NBC News/Marist Poll January 12–14 Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 37% 13 1,039 ± 3%

Polls conducted in 2013

Polls in 2013
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC December 16–19 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 37% 21 950 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Rick Perry 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 37% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Rick Santorum 38% 19
Public Policy Polling December 12–15 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,316 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 49% 14
Howard Dean 29% Chris Christie 51% 22
John Kerry 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 33% Chris Christie 49% 16
Quinnipiac University December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 2,692 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
McClatchy-Marist December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 1,173 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 35% 22
Hillary Clinton 59% Sarah Palin 36% 23
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 58% Rick Perry 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 42% 10
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 40% 16
Quinnipiac University November 6–11 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 2,545 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
NBC News November 7–10 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10 1,003 ± 3.6%
Rasmussen November 7–8 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling October 29–31 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 649 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 33% 17
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 37% 12
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 45% 7
Joe Biden 46% Ted Cruz 36% 10
Joe Biden 45% Rand Paul 38% 7
Quinnipiac University September 23–29 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13 1,497 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 31% 23
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 36% 17
Rasmussen September 16–17 Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 39% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Monmouth University July 25–30 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 850 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 32% 16
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Public Policy Polling July 19–21 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 45% 6
Joe Biden 43% Rand Paul 43% Tied
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 42% Tied
Joe Biden 43% Paul Ryan 46% 3
McClatchy-Marist July 15–18 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 491 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 37% 16
Quinnipiac University June 28 – July 8 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 40% 6 2,014 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Joe Biden 42% Rand Paul 42% Tied
Quinnipiac University May 22–28 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,419 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 44% 6
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling May 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 44% 3 1,099 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 46% Rand Paul 44% 2
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Public Policy Polling March 27–30 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4 1,247 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 43% 7
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Joe Biden 48% Paul Ryan 45% 3
McClatchy-Marist March 25–27 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 38% 16 519 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Joe Biden 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8
Joe Biden 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Joe Biden 50% Rand Paul 41% 9
Joe Biden 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Quinnipiac University February 27 – March 4 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 37% 8 1,944 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 34% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38% 12
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 43% 3
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 38% 7
Joe Biden 45% Paul Ryan 42% 3
Andrew Cuomo 28% Chris Christie 45% 17
Andrew Cuomo 37% Marco Rubio 37% Tie
Andrew Cuomo 37% Paul Ryan 42% 5
Public Policy Polling January 31 – February 3 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 44% 6
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 44% Chris Christie 44% Tie
Joe Biden 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5
Joe Biden 49% Paul Ryan 45% 4
Purple Strategies December 8–10, 2012 Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 36% 17 1,000 ± 3.1%

Three-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Google Consumer Surveys November 1–7, 2016 38% 36% 5% 2 26,574 ± 0.65%
Angus Reid Institute November 1–4, 2016 48% 44% 6% 4 1,151 ± 2.9%
RAND American Life Panel October 20 – November 1, 2016 44% 35% 8% 9 2,269 ± 1.9%
Google Consumer Surveys October 20–24, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 21,240 ±0.73%
Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2016 46% 40% 5% 6 990 ±3.18%
Google Consumer Surveys October 15–19, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 22,826 ±0.70%
Google Consumer Surveys October 10–14, 2016 38% 33% 7% 5 19,900 ±0.75%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 41% 3% 6 609 ±3.6%
Google Consumer Surveys September 27 – October 3, 2016 39% 34% 7% 5 22,006 ±0.71%
Google Consumer Surveys September 14–20, 2016 36% 35% 8% 1 20,864 ±0.73%
Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Libertarian
candidate 		% Lead
margin
Fox News

Sample size: 1,022
Margin of error: ±3%

July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 9
Penn Schoen Berland

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 15% 5
CBS News

Sample size: 1,131
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Morning Consult

Sample size: 1,931
Margin of error: ±2%

July 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 5
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2,502
Margin of error: ±2%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 4
CBS News

Sample size: 1,118 adults
Margin of error ±4%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% 1
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2,002
Margin of error: ±2%

July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 11% 3
CBS News/New York Times

Sample size: 1,358
Margin of error: ±3%

July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Tied
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Rasmussen Reports

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% 1
Fox News

Sample size: 1,017
Margin of error: ±3%

June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

June 23–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 11
The Economist/YouGov

Sample size: 1,300
Margin of error: ±3.9%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% 5
Morning Consult

Sample size: 4001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Pew Research

Sample size: 1,655
Margin of error: ±2.7%

June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 9
Morning Consult

Sample size: 3891
Margin of error: ±2%

June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Tied
CBS News

Sample size: 1048
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 11% 7
Bloomberg Politics

Sample size: 750
Margin of error: ± 3.6%

June 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% 12
Morning Consult

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% 6
Fox News

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% 3
Rasmussen Report

Sample size: 1000
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 1
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

June 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) 10% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) 10% 1
Morning Consult

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Fox News

Sample size: 1,021
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Monmouth University

Sample size: 848
Margin of error ±3.4%

March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% 8
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Third
candidate 		% Lead
margin
ABC News/Washington Post

Sample size: 823
Margin of error: ± 3.5%

May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Mitt Romney 22% 2
Public Policy Polling

Sample size: 1,083
Margin of error ±3.0%

March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 10% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 8% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Rick Perry 12% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 34% Rick Perry 12% 9
Quinnipiac University

Sample size: 1,342
Margin of error ±2.7%

February 10–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 12% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 33% Michael Bloomberg 14% 6
Suffolk University/USA Today

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error ± 3%

February 11–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 30% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 16% 7
Quinnipiac University

Sample size: 1,125
Margin of error ±2.9%

February 2–4, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Public Policy Polling

Sample size: 1,236
Margin of error

February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
Luntz Global

Sample size: 900
Margin of error ±3.3%

January 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 29% 4
Hillary Clinton 37% Ted Cruz 35% Michael Bloomberg 28% 2
Hillary Clinton 35% Marco Rubio 38% Michael Bloomberg 28% 3
Morning Consult

Sample size: 1,439
Margin of error ±3%

January 21–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 34% Michael Bloomberg 12% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 28% Michael Bloomberg 11% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 29% Michael Bloomberg 10% 7
Morning Consult

Sample size: 4,060
Margin of error ±2%

January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 34% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 33% Michael Bloomberg 10% 5
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.4% Ted Cruz 19.9% Donald Trump 26.1% 19.3
Hillary Clinton 44.8% Carly Fiorina 14.9% Donald Trump 29.6% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 44.0% Ben Carson 20.1% Donald Trump 25.7% 18.3
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Marco Rubio 21.8% Donald Trump 25.9% 17.4
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Jeb Bush 19.6% Donald Trump 29.5% 13.8
Saint Leo University Polling Institute

Margin of error ±6.0%
Sample size: 1005

October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42.7% Jeb Bush 22.8% Donald Trump 24.2% 18.5
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Carly Fiorina 22.6% Donald Trump 23.8% 19.9
Hillary Clinton 43.1% Ben Carson 27.9% Donald Trump 20.2% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Marco Rubio 24.6% Donald Trump 22.9% 19.1
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 18.6% Donald Trump 24.1% 20.8
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1254 		August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 23% Donald Trump 27% 15
Fox News

Sample size: 1008

August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 24% Donald Trump 25% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 30% Donald Trump 22% 12
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 23% 13
McClatchy-Marist
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 964 		July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 20% 15
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,087 		July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 23% 18
ABC News/Washington Post
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 815 		July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 20% 17

Four-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
YouGov/The Economist November 4–7, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Insights West November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4% 1% 4 940 ± 3.2%
Bloomberg News/Selzer November 4–6, 2016 44% 41% 4% 2% 3 799 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 3% 2% 4 16,639 ± 0.8%
ABC News/Washington Post November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 4% 1% 4 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 3% 2% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 3–6, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 4% 1% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters November 2–6, 2016 42% 39% 6% 3% 3 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times November 2–6, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports November 2–6, 2016 45% 43% 4% 2% 2 1,500 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 31– November 6, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 70,194 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 45% 42% 8% 2% 3 1,482 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 44% 40% 6% 2% 4 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post November 2–5, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 2–5, 2016 43% 44% 5% 2% 1 903 ± 3.3%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald November 1–5, 2016 48% 44% 4% 2% 4 1,009 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post November 1–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP November 1–4, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 31 – November 4, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports November 1–3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 1% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Fox News November 1–3, 2016 45% 43% 5% 2% 2 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist November 1–3, 2016 44% 43% 6% 2% 1 940 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 898 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post October 31 – November 3, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,021 ± 2.6%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News November 1–2, 2016 47% 45% 3% 1% 2 2,435 ± 2.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 31 – November 2, 2016 42% 45% 4% 1% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 30 – November 2, 2016 47% 44% 3% 2% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,858 ± 2.6%
Rasmussen Reports October 30 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
YouGov/Economist October 30 – November 1, 2016 46% 43% 4% 2% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
ABC News/Washington Post October 29 – November 1, 2016 47% 45% 3% 2% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 42% 5% 4% 3 862 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,772 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
ABC News/Washington Post October 28–31, 2016 46% 46% 3% 2% Tied 1,167 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–31, 2016 45% 45% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult October 29–30, 2016 42% 39% 7% 5% 3 1,772 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 27–30, 2016 45% 46% 3% 2% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 26–30, 2016 43% 37% 6% 1% 6 1,264 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 26–30, 2016 45% 42% 5% 2% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP October 25–30, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 993 ± 3.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 24–30, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 40,816 ±1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 26–29, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 24–29, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 1,039 ± 3.3%
Red Oak Strategic/Google Consumer Surveys October 27–28, 2016 37% 37% 6% 2% Tied 943 ± 3.7%
Morning Consult October 27–28, 2016 42% 39% 8% 4% 3 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 23–28, 2016 45% 41% 7% 2% 4 1,013 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports October 25–27, 2016 45% 45% 3% 2% Tied 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 24–27, 2016 47% 45% 4% 2% 2 1,148 ±3.0%
IBD/TIPP October 22–27, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart October 25–26, 2016 46% 45% 3% 1% 1 1,824 ±2.3%
Rasmussen Reports October 24–26, 2016 45% 44% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 23–26, 2016 48% 44% 4% 1% 4 1,150 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist October 22–26, 2016 46% 41% 4% 2% 5 1,376 ±3.1%
Saint Leo University October 22–26, 2016 45% 34% 6% 2% 11 1,050 ±%
IBD/TIPP October 21–26, 2016 43% 41% 8% 2% 2 945 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports October 23–25, 2016 44% 43% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News October 22–25, 2016 44% 41% 7% 3% 3 1,221 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post October 22–25, 2016 48% 42% 5% 1% 6 1,135 ±3.0%
Pew Research Center October 20–25, 2016 46% 40% 6% 3% 6 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP October 20–25, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 921 ± 3.3%
CNBC October 21–24, 2016 43% 34% 7% 2% 9 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News October 21–24, 2016 49% 40% 5% 2% 9 1,119 ±3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner October 21–24, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK October 20–24, 2016 51% 37% 6% 2% 14 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University October 20–24, 2016 47% 38% 4% 2% 9 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters October 20–24, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,170 ±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–24, 2016 43% 42% 5% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP October 19–24, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News October 20–23, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,155 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC October 20–23, 2016 49% 44% 3% 2% 5 779 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 19–23, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP October 18–23, 2016 41% 41% 7% 3% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
Centre College October 18–23, 2016 45% 40% 6% 1% 5 569 ±4.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 17–23, 2016 46% 41% 7% 3% 5 32,225 ± 1.0%
ABC News October 20–22, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,391 ±3.5%
IBD/TIPP October 17–22, 2016 41% 43% 7% 3% 2 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP October 16–21, 2016 40% 42% 7% 4% 2 791 ±3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult October 19–20, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 1,395 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 18–20, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 14–20, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 1,640 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 17–19, 2016 40% 43% 6% 3% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP October 14–19, 2016 40% 41% 7% 5% 1 779 ±3.6%
Quinnipiac University October 17–18, 2016 47% 40% 7% 1% 7 1,007 ±3.1%
YouGov/Economist October 15–18, 2016 42% 38% 6% 1% 4 1,300 ±3.9%
IBD/TIPP October 13–18, 2016 40% 41% 8% 6% 1 782 ±3.6%
Fox News October 15–17, 2016 45% 39% 5% 3% 6 912 ±3.0%
Bloomberg Politics October 14–17, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,006 ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–17, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 13–17, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,190 ±3.2%
Monmouth University October 14–16, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 805 ±3.5%
CBS News October 12–16, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,411 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 12–16, 2016 43% 41% 5% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 10–16, 2016 46% 40% 8% 4% 6 24,804 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 13–15, 2016 42% 36% 10% 3% 6 1,737 ±2.0%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe October 11–14, 2016 46% 36% 5% 2% 10 845 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports October 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 48% 37% 7% 2% 11 1,000 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post October 10–13, 2016 47% 43% 5% 2% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,011 ±3.1%
George Washington University October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8% 2% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
Fox News October 10–12, 2016 45% 38% 7% 3% 7 917 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 10–12, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Insights West October 10–11, 2016 47% 41% 7% 3% 6 953 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports October 9–11, 2016 43% 39% 7% 2% 4 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult October 10, 2016 42% 37% 10% 3% 5 1,757 ±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8–10, 2016 45% 36% 8% 2% 9 806 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 6–10, 2016 44% 39% 7% 2% 5 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,363 ±2.3%
Pew Research September 27 – October 10, 2016 46% 39% 10% 4% 7 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 8–9, 2016 46% 35% 9% 2% 11 422 ±4.6%
Rasmussen Reports October 5–9, 2016 45% 38% 7% 2% 7 1,500 ±2.5%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic October 5–9, 2016 49% 38% 2% 0% 11 886 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey October 3–9, 2016 46% 41% 8% 3% 5 23,329 ±1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult October 8, 2016 42% 38% 8% 3% 4 1,390 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist October 7–8, 2016 44% 38% 5% 1% 6 1,300 ±4.3%
Morning Consult October 5–6, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,775 ±2.0%
Quinnipiac University October 5–6, 2016 45% 40% 6% 2% 5 1,064 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 4–6, 2016 43% 42% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News October 3–6, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 896 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 30 – October 6, 2016 42% 37% 8% 2% 5 1,695 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports October 3–5, 2016 41% 43% 8% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 3, 2016 44% 44% 5% 1% Tied 1,690 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist October 1–3, 2016 43% 40% 5% 3% 3 911 ±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 36% 8% 2% 6 1,239 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 41% 9% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult September 30 – October 2, 2016 42% 36% 9% 3% 6 1,778 ±2.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 36% 11% 3% 9 385 ±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 41% 8% 3% 4 1,217 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 7% 2% 5 N/A ±N/A%
Rasmussen Reports September 28 – October 2, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 26 – October 2, 2016 46% 40% 9% 3% 6 26,925 ±1.0%
Fox News September 27–29, 2016 43% 40% 8% 4% 3 911 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 23–29, 2016 42% 38% 7% 3% 4 2,501 ±2.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 26–28, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Morning Consult September 26–27, 2016 41% 38% 8% 4% 3 1,253 ±3.0%
Public Religion Research Institute September 1–27, 2016 49% 41% 4% 1% 8 2,010 ±2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters September 22–26, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,041 ±3.5%
Quinnipiac University September 22–25, 2016 44% 43% 8% 2% 1 1,115 ±2.9%
Monmouth University September 22–25, 2016 46% 42% 8% 2% 4 729 ±3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 19–25, 2016 45% 40% 10% 3% 5 13,598 ±1.1%
Morning Consult September 22–24, 2016 38% 39% 9% 4% 1 1,712 ±2.0%
YouGov/Economist September 22–24, 2016 44% 41% 5% 2% 3 948 ±3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer September 21–24, 2016 41% 43% 8% 4% 2 1,002 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post September 19–22, 2016 46% 44% 5% 1% 2 651 ±4.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald September 18–22, 2016 45% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,017 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters September 16–22, 2016 39% 37% 7% 2% 2 1,559 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 20–21, 2016 39% 44% 8% 2% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] September 20, 2016 44% 40% 5% 2% 4 1,560 ±2.5%
McClatchy/Marist September 15–20, 2016 45% 39% 10% 4% 6 758 ±3.6%
YouGov/Economist September 18–19, 2016 40% 38% 7% 2% 2 936 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–19, 2016 43% 37% 9% 3% 6 922 ±3.2%
iCitizen September 15–19, 2016 42% 37% 5% 3% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters September 15–19, 2016 37% 39% 7% 2% 2 1,111 ±3.4%
Associated Press/GFK September 15–19, 2016 45% 39% 9% 2% 6 1,251 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 12–18, 2016 45% 40% 10% 4% 5 13,230 ±1.2%
Morning Consult September 15–16, 2016 42% 40% 8% 3% 2 1,639 ±2.0%
Saint Leo University September 12–16, 2016 46% 41% 9% 4% 5 1,005 ±3.0%
Fox News September 11–14, 2016 41% 40% 8% 3% 1 867 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports September 12–13, 2016 40% 42% 7% 2% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
Emerson College September 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 9% 2% 2 800 ±3.4%
YouGov/Economist September 10–13, 2016 42% 40% 5% 3% 2 1,087 ±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 42% 42% 8% 4% Tied 1,433 ±3.0%
Quinnipiac University September 8–13, 2016 41% 39% 13% 4% 2 960 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters September 8–12, 2016 39% 39% 8% 2% Tied 1,127 ±3.3%
Pew Research August 16 – September 12, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 2 3,941 ±2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey September 5–11, 2016 42% 40% 11% 4% 2 16,220 ±1.1%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[citation needed] September 7–8, 2016 43% 40% 7% 1% 3 2,348 ±2.0%
Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 43% 41% 10% 3% 2 1,710 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post September 5–8, 2016 46% 41% 9% 2% 5 642 ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 6–7, 2016 43% 39% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist September 4–6, 2016 40% 38% 7% 5% 2 1,077 ±4.7%
Ipsos/Reuters September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 8% 3% 2 1,084 ±3.5%
CNN/ORC September 1–4, 2016 43% 45% 7% 2% 2 786 ±3.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald August 31 – September 4, 2016 44% 41% 8% 3% 3 1,025 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 29 – September 4, 2016 41% 37% 12% 4% 4 32,226 ±1.0%
Morning Consult September 1–2, 2016 38% 36% 9% 4% 2 2,001 ±2.0%
George Washington University August 28 – September 1, 2016 42% 40% 11% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 7% 2% Tied 1,804 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 12% 3% Tied 861 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports August 29–30, 2016 39% 40% 7% 3% 1 1,000 ±3.0%
Fox News August 28–30, 2016 41% 39% 9% 4% 2 1,011 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist August 27–29, 2016 42% 37% 7% 3% 5 1,119 ±4.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 25–29, 2016 40% 38% 6% 2% 2 1,404 ±3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today August 25–29, 2016 42% 35% 9% 4% 7 1,000 ±3.0%
Monmouth University August 25–28, 2016 43% 36% 8% 2% 7 689 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 22–28, 2016 41% 37% 11% 5% 4 24,104 ±1.0%
Morning Consult August 24–26, 2016 39% 37% 8% 3% 2 2,007 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 22–25, 2016 39% 36% 7% 3% 3 1,154 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports August 23–24, 2016 42% 38% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 20–24, 2016 39% 36% 7% 2% 3 1,049 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University August 18–24, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 7 1,498 ±2.5%
Gravis Marketing August 22–23, 2016 42% 41% 4% 1% 1 1,493 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist August 19–23, 2016 42% 38% 6% 4% 4 1,080 ±4.1%
Ipsos/Reuters August 18–22, 2016 41% 33% 7% 2% 8 1,115 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 15–21, 2016 43% 38% 11% 5% 5 17,451 ±1.1%
Morning Consult August 16–20, 2016 39% 36% 8% 4% 3 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 13–17, 2016 39% 35% 7% 2% 4 1,049 ±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports August 15–16, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist August 11–16, 2016 41% 35% 7% 3% 6 1,076 ±4.1%
Pew Research August 9–16, 2016 41% 37% 10% 4% 4 1,567 ±2.8%
Normington, Petts & Associates August 9–15, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 8–14, 2016 43% 37% 11% 4% 6 15,179 ±1.2%
Zogby Analytics August 12–13, 2016 38% 36% 8% 5% 2 1,277 ±2.8%
Morning Consult August 11–14, 2016 39% 33% 9% 4% 6 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters August 6–10, 2016 40% 35% 7% 3% 5 974 ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports August 9–10, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] August 9, 2016 42% 37% 9% 3% 5 2,832 ±1.8%
YouGov/Economist August 6–9, 2016 42% 36% 9% 2% 6 1,300 ±4.2%
Bloomberg Politics August 5–8, 2016 44% 40% 9% 4% 4 749 ±3.6%
Princeton Survey August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 2% 1% 6 1,000 ±3.9%
Monmouth University August 4–7, 2016 46% 34% 7% 2% 12 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 1–7, 2016 44% 38% 10% 4% 6 11,480 ±1.2%
Morning Consult August 4–5, 2016 41% 33% 9% 5% 8 2,001 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post August 1–4, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,002 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 40% 6% 3% 2 1,154 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP July 29 – August 4, 2016 39% 35% 12% 5% 4 851 ±3.4%
McClatchy/Marist August 1–3, 2016 45% 31% 10% 6% 14 983 ±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal July 31 – August 3, 2016 43% 34% 10% 5% 9 800 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters July 30 – August 3, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,072 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports August 1–2, 2016 44% 40% 6% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
The Economist/YouGov July 31 – August 1, 2016 41% 36% 8% 4% 5 1,300 ±4.0%
CNN/ORC July 29–31, 2016 45% 37% 9% 5% 8 894 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 25–31, 2016 43% 38% 9% 4% 5 12,742 ±1.2%
Public Policy Polling July 29–30, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,276 ±2.7%
RABA Research July 29, 2016 46% 31% 7% 2% 15 956 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters July 25–29, 2016 37% 37% 5% 1% Tied 1,788 ±2.4%
YouGov/Economist July 23–24, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,300 ±4.5%
CNN/ORC July 22–24, 2016 39% 44% 9% 3% 5 882 ±3.5%
University of Delaware July 21–24, 2016 46% 42% 1% 1% 4 818 ±4.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 18–24, 2016 39% 41% 10% 5% 2 12,931 ±1.2%
RABA Research July 22, 2016 39% 34% 8% 3% 5 909 ±3.3%
Echelon Insights July 21–22, 2016 40% 39% 3% 2% 1 912 ±N/A%
Ipsos/Reuters July 16–20, 2016 39% 35% 7% 3% 4 1,522 ±2.9%
YouGov/Economist July 15–17, 2016 40% 37% 5% 4% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 11–17, 2016 39% 40% 10% 5% 1 9,436 ±1.4%
Monmouth University July 14–16, 2016 45% 43% 5% 1% 2 688 ±3.7%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald July 13–16, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 1,007 ±3.1%
CNN/ORC July 13–16, 2016 42% 37% 13% 5% 5 872 ±3.5%
icitizen July 11–14, 2016 39% 35% 9% 3% 4 1,000 ±N/A%
ABC News/Washington Post July 11–14, 2016 42% 38% 8% 5% 4 1,003 ±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal July 9–13, 2016 41% 35% 11% 6% 6 1,000 ±3.1%
The Economist/YouGov July 9–11, 2016 40% 37% 5% 2% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
AP-GfK July 7–11, 2016 40% 36% 6% 2% 4 837 ±3.3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey July 4–10, 2016 40% 38% 11% 6% 2 7,869 ±1.4%
Raba Research July 7–9, 2016 41% 29% 9% 2% 12 781 ±3.5%
McClatchy/Marist July 5–9, 2016 40% 35% 10% 5% 5 1,249 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters July 2–6, 2016 42% 33% 6% 4% 9 1,345 ±2.8%
The Economist/YouGov July 2–4, 2016 42% 37% 4% 3% 5 1,300 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 27 – July 3, 2016 41% 38% 9% 5% 3 10,072 ±1.3%
Suffolk University/USA Today June 26–29, 2016 39% 35% 8% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters June 25–29, 2016 42% 31% 5% 4% 11 1,247 ±2.8%
IBD/TIPP June 24–29, 2016 37% 36% 9% 5% 1 837 ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling June 27–28, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 947 ±3.2%
Quinnipiac University June 21–27, 2016 39% 37% 8% 4% 2 1,610 ±2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 20–26, 2016 42% 36% 9% 5% 6 5,818 ±1.8%
ABC News/Washington Post June 20–23, 2016 47% 37% 7% 3% 10 836 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal June 19–23, 2016 39% 38% 10% 6% 1 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters June 18–22, 2016 43% 34% 6% 5% 9 1,339 ±2.8%
CNN/ORC June 16–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 7% 4 891 ±3.5%
Monmouth University June 15–19, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey June 13–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 16,135 ±1.1%
Ipsos/Reuters June 11–15, 2016 39% 29% 6% 4% 10 1,323 ±2.8%
NBC/Survey Monkey June 6–12, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 10,604 ±1.3%
SurveyUSA June 8, 2016 39% 36% 6% 4% 3 1,408 ±2.7%
Zogby May 30 – June 5, 2016 40% 34% 6% 2% 6 837 ±3.5%
NBC News May 30 – June 5, 2016 39% 40% 9% 4% 1 9,240 ±1.4%
Quinnipiac University May 24–30, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,561 ±2.5%

Five-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Evan McMullin
Independent 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Saint Leo University October 22–26, 2016 42% 31% 6% 1% 5% 11 1,050 –
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 44% 40% 6% 1% 2% 4 933 ±3.2%
Echelon Insights September 26–27, 2016 44% 39% 6% 2% 1% 5 1,833 –
Public Policy Polling August 26–28, 2016 42% 37% 6% 4% 1% 5 881 ±3.3%

Post-election analysis

BBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure. Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out". He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters. Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election. Despite all this, however, nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average, and argued that "Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling".

A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not. The poll's findings caused skepticism, especially from other pollsters and media outlets, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it. Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they're 100 percent sure, saying if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll." The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer."

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

After the election

References

Tags:

Nationwide Opinion Polling For The 2016 United States Presidential Election Aggregate pollsNationwide Opinion Polling For The 2016 United States Presidential Election Individual pollsNationwide Opinion Polling For The 2016 United States Presidential Election Post-election analysisNationwide Opinion Polling For The 2016 United States Presidential Election

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