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2018 New York Gubernatorial Election

The 2018 New York gubernatorial election occurred on November 6, 2018.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo won re-election to a third term, defeating Republican Marc Molinaro and several minor party candidates. Cuomo received 59.6% of the vote to Molinaro's 36.2%.

2018 New York gubernatorial election
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
← 2014 November 6, 2018 2022 →
Turnout48.0% Increase 14.8pp
  2018 New York Gubernatorial Election 2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
Nominee Andrew Cuomo Marc Molinaro
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance
Parties
Parties
Running mate Kathy Hochul Julie Killian
Popular vote 3,635,340 2,207,602
Percentage 59.6% 36.2%
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election
Cuomo:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Molinaro:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
Governor before election

Andrew Cuomo
Democratic

Elected Governor

Andrew Cuomo
Democratic

Cuomo defeated actress and activist Cynthia Nixon in the Democratic gubernatorial primary. Cuomo's running mate, Lt. Governor Kathy Hochul, beat New York City Councillor Jumaane Williams in the Democratic primary for the lieutenant governorship. Democratic candidates Cuomo and Hochul also ran on the ballot lines of the Independence Party, and the Women's Equality Party; after Nixon and Williams withdrew from the race in October, Cuomo and Hochul received the nomination of the Working Families Party as well.

Dutchess County Executive and former New York State Assemblymember Marc Molinaro was the Republican, Conservative, and Reform Party candidate. Molinaro's running mate was former Rye City Councilmember Julie Killian. 3rd-party gubernatorial candidates appearing on the general election ballot included Howie Hawkins, repeat candidate for the Green Party; former Syracuse Mayor Stephanie Miner, running on the newly created Serve America Movement line; and Larry Sharpe of the Libertarian Party, who was the runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian primary contest for Vice President of the United States.

On election day, Cuomo ultimately won reelection with 59.6% of the vote, a margin of 23% over Molinaro. Cuomo flipped Monroe, Suffolk, and Ulster counties back into the Democratic column; all 3 supported him in 2010 but narrowly backed Republican Rob Astorino in 2014. Molinaro, however, flipped the North Country counties of Clinton, Franklin, and Essex, as well as Broome County in the Southern Tier, into the Republican column.

Cuomo won New York City itself by 81.51 percent to Molinaro's 15.2 (including a plurality in the somewhat conservative Staten Island borough). He also maintained a ten-point edge over Molinaro in Long Island and Rockland County, in addition to comfortably winning the suburban Westchester County by 36 points. Upstate New York, however, voted for Molinaro, he received 50.7 percent of the vote there to Cuomo's 43.

As of 2022, this, along with the concurrent Attorney General election, Senate election and Comptroller election, is the last time Richmond (Staten Island) or Suffolk counties have voted Democratic. This is the last time Nassau County and Rockland County voted Democratic in a gubernatorial election. This is the last time the counties of Schenectady and Columbia voted Republican in a statewide election. This is also the last time Cuomo would win reelection to the governorship, as he resigned in 2021 and was succeeded by Hochul.

Background

Incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo decided to seek re-election in 2014 to a 2nd term in office. Governor Cuomo defeated Zephyr Teachout in a primary election, 63 to 33%, and went on to defeat the Republican nominee, Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, 54 to 40%, in the general election. His victory — and his vote tallies in rural upstate New York counties — declined in his bid for reelection, but Cuomo was still reelected.

New York gubernatorial elections operate on a split primary system: governor and lieutenant governor candidates in each party run in separate primary elections. In the general election, candidates are chosen as unified governor/lieutenant governor tickets. New York allows electoral fusion, in which candidates may appear on multiple ballot lines in the same election.

The results of the gubernatorial election also determine ballot access and ballot order. A party's gubernatorial candidate must receive 50,000 votes or more for that party to obtain automatic ballot status in New York for the following four years.

The last Republican to win an election in NY was George Pataki in 2002.

Democratic primary

On November 15, 2016, Gov. Cuomo announced his intention to seek a 3rd term in office. On May 23, 2018, governor Andrew Cuomo secured the nomination of the Democratic Party at the state convention after winning support from more than 95% of the state delegates. No other candidates qualified for the primary ballot at the convention, as they all failed to meet the 25% delegate threshold. Actress and activist Cynthia Nixon sought to petition her way onto the Democratic primary ballot. By July 12, Nixon had obtained 65,000 signatures, which is more than 4 times the 15,000 to force a primary election.

Candidates

Nominee

Lost nomination
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Cynthia Nixon (defeated)
    Local and state politicians (current and former)
    Individuals
    Organizations
    Media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo 		Cynthia
Nixon 		Other Undecided
Siena College September 4–7, 2018 509 ± 4.3% 63% 22% 4% 11%
Siena College July 22–26, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 60% 29% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2018 415 ± 6.2% 59% 23% 2% 15%
Zogby Analytics June 27 – July 3, 2018 – – 63% 22% – 15%
Siena College June 4–7, 2018 – – 61% 26% 0% 11%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2018 473 ± 5.7% 50% 28% – 22%
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 – – 58% 27% 5% 11%
Marist College April 3–9, 2018 364 ± 6.0% 68% 21% – 11%
Remington (R-Big Dog Strategies) April 7–8, 2018 2,038 ± 2.2% 60% 20% – 19%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 363 ± 4.0% 66% 19% 1% 9%

Debates and forums

  • Hofstra University – August 29, 2018 – WCBS-TV

Results

2018 New York Gubernatorial Election 
County results for the Democratic gubernatorial primary
Cuomo:      50-60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%
Nixon:      50–60%

On September 13, 2018, Cuomo defeated Nixon in the Democratic gubernatorial primary.

2018 Democratic primary results
Governor of New York
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andrew Cuomo (incumbent) 1,021,160 65.53%
Democratic Cynthia Nixon 537,192 34.47%
Total votes 1,558,352 100%

Lieutenant governor

Nominee

Lost nomination
Results
2018 New York Gubernatorial Election 
County results for the Democratic lieutenant governor primary
Hochul:      50-60%      60–70%      70–80%
Williams:      50–60%      60–70%

Kathy Hochul narrowly defeated New York City Councillor Jumaane Williams in the Democratic primary.

2018 Democratic primary results
Lieutenant Governor of New York
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul (incumbent) 733,591 53.3%
Democratic Jumaane Williams 641,633 46.7%
Total votes 1,375,224 100%

Republican primary

On May 23, 2018, the party unanimously nominated Marc Molinaro as its candidate for Governor of New York at its state convention. No challengers attempted to petition onto the primary ballot, so no Republican primary took place. Deputy Senate Majority Leader John A. DeFrancisco ran for the Republican nomination, but withdrew his candidacy on April 25, 2018, after party leaders—who had initially given him their support—threw their support to Molinaro instead.

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

John DeFrancisco (withdrew)
    Federal politicians
    State Legislators
    Municipal leaders
    Municipal legislator
    Organizations
Brian Kolb (withdrew)
    State legislators
    Municipal leaders
    Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		John
DeFrancisco 		Marc
Molinaro 		Other Undecided
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 – – 18% 18% 0% 53%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 170 4.0% 21% 17% 0% 49%

Third-party candidates and independent candidates

Third parties with automatic ballot access

In addition to the Democratic and Republican Parties, six other political parties will have automatic ballot access; all six have chosen to exercise it. In order of ballot appearance, those parties are:

  • Conservative Party of New York State: On April 13, 2018, in what Party chairman Michael R. Long termed a "not very easy" decision, the Conservative Party Executive Committee selected Marc Molinaro over Deputy Senate Majority Leader John A. DeFrancisco as its gubernatorial endorsee.
  • Green Party of New York: On April 12, 2018, Howie Hawkins, after initially implying after the 2014 election that he would not seek the office again, launched his third consecutive campaign for the position, his 21st campaign for public office.
  • Working Families Party: On April 14, 2018, by a 91–8 margin, the Working Families Party endorsed Cynthia Nixon as its gubernatorial candidate, with Jumaane Williams as her running mate. The endorsement came after the labor unions that formed part of Cuomo's political machine, who were able to force the party to nominate Cuomo instead of Zephyr Teachout in 2014, withdrew from the party, and Cuomo declined to seek the party's line. On September 13, 2018, after being defeated by Cuomo in the Democratic primary, Nixon declined to say whether she would continue to run for governor on the Working Families Party line. On October 3, the Working Families Party offered Cuomo and Hochul their party's ballot line. Cuomo and Hochul accepted that offer on October 5.
    • Nominee: Andrew Cuomo (replacing the withdrawn Cynthia Nixon)
      • Running mate: Kathy Hochul (replacing the withdrawn Jumaane Williams)
  • Independence Party of New York: On December 23, 2017, the Party endorsed incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo for the third consecutive election cycle.
  • Women's Equality Party: The party endorsed Cuomo for re-election, as the party remained allied with the Cuomo campaign.
  • Reform Party of New York State: On May 19, after the party's executive committee deadlocked between Marc Molinaro and Joel Giambra in April, delegates at the Reform Party state convention nominated Republican frontrunner Molinaro for governor.

Independent candidates and third parties without automatic ballot access

Any candidate not among the eight qualified New York political parties (Democratic, Republican, Conservative, Green, Working Families, Independence, Women's Equality and Reform, respectively) was required to submit petitions to gain ballot access. Such candidates did not face primary elections. At the time, third parties whose respective gubernatorial candidates received at least 50,000 votes in the general election secured automatic ballot access in all state and federal elections through the 2022 elections, but due to a 2020 law to change the requirements 4 parties lost that access in 2020 (Libertarian, Independence, Working Families, Serve America Movement).

Libertarian Party

2018 New York Gubernatorial Election 
Business consultant and runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential primary Larry Sharpe ran on the Libertarian Party line

On July 12, 2017, Larry Sharpe, business consultant and runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential primary, officially announced that he would run for Governor of New York in 2018. Sharpe was the first person to announce his candidacy to run against incumbent governor Andrew Cuomo. On August 19, 2018, the Libertarian Party announced it had collected over 30,000 signatures to place its ticket onto the November ballot. Sharpe's petitions survived a petition challenge.

  • Nominee: Larry Sharpe, business consultant and runner-up in the 2016 Libertarian Party vice presidential primary
    • Running mate: Andrew Hollister, candidate for Rochester City Council in 2017

Serve America Movement

On June 18, 2018, former Syracuse Mayor Stephanie Miner, after expressing informal interest in the Working Families and Reform nominations, entered the gubernatorial race as a third-party candidate. Miner "plans to run under the banner of an upstart new group, the Serve America Movement, which calls itself SAM, formed by people disaffected by the existing party structure after the 2016 elections. She will be the group's first candidate." Miner circulated designating petitions to create a SAM Party in New York, and on August 21, her campaign announced that it had submitted over 40,000 petition signatures. Miner's submitted petitions far exceeded the 15,000 required to qualify for the November ballot. Persons tied to the Cuomo campaign, after reviewing the petitions, failed to find enough specific objections to challenge their validity.

Rent Is Too Damn High Party (disqualified)

Jimmy McMillan, the party's founder and figurehead indicated on the party website that he would make another attempt at the office. He submitted petitions on August 21, 2018, with himself as the gubernatorial nominee and Christialle Felix as his running mate. When the ballot order was released, McMillan and the Rent Is Too Damn High Party had been disqualified and removed from the ballot.

General election

Debates

Host
network 		Date Link(s) Participants
Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Marc
Molinaro (R) 		Larry
Sharpe (L) 		Howie
Hawkins (G) 		Stephanie
Miner (SAM)
WCBS-TV October 23, 2018 Participant Participant Non-invitee Non-invitee Non-invitee
College of St. Rose November 1, 2018 Absentee Participant Participant Participant Participant

Endorsements

Andrew Cuomo (D)
    U.S. cabinet members and cabinet-level officials
    State Officials
    U.S. Senators
    U.S. Representatives
    Local and state politicians
    Organizations
    Media
    Individuals
Marc Molinaro (R)
    U.S. governors
    U.S. representatives
    State legislators
    County officials
    Individuals
    Organizations
    Newspapers
Larry Sharpe (L)
    U.S. governors
    U.S. municipal legislators
    Other politicians
    Individuals
    Organizations
Howie Hawkins (G)
    Local politicians (former)
    Individuals
  • Jimmy Dore, stand-up comedian and political commentator for hosting The Jimmy Dore Show and co-hosting The Aggressive Progressives on Young Turks
Stephanie Miner (SAM)
    Newspapers
  • Adirondack Daily Enterprise

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D October 26, 2018
The Washington Post Safe D November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight Safe D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics Safe D November 4, 2018
Daily Kos Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News Likely D November 5, 2018
Politico Safe D November 5, 2018
Governing Safe D November 5, 2018
    Notes

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Marc
Molinaro (R) 		Undecided
 Margin
Real Clear Politics October 10 – November 1, 2018 November 1, 2018 53.5% 35.5% 11% Cuomo +18.0
FiveThirtyEight April 26 – November 1, 2018 November 1, 2018 49.7% 30.4% 19.9% Cuomo +19.3
Average 51.6% 33.0% 15.4% Cuomo +18.6
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo
(D) 		Marc
Molinaro
(R) 		Stephanie
Miner
(SAM) 		Howie
Hawkins
(G) 		Larry
Sharpe
(L) 		Other Undecided
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 54% 37% – – – 3% 6%
Siena College October 28 – November 1, 2018 641 ± 3.9% 49% 36% 2% 2% 3% 0% 7%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2018 852 ± 4.4% 58% 35% – – – 2% 5%
Gravis Marketing (L-Sharpe) October 4–8, 2018 783 ± 3.5% 48% 25% 8% 6% 13% – –
Siena College September 20–27, 2018 701 ± 3.9% 56% 38% – – – 0% 4%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) August 29–30, 2018 2,783 ± 1.9% 46% 43% – – – – 11%
Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2018 934 ± 4.1% 57% 31% – – – 0% 8%
Zogby Analytics June 27 – July 3, 2018 708 ± 3.7% 50% 27% 10% 4% – – 9%
49% 27% 11% – – – 12%
52% 32% – – – – 15%
Siena College June 4–7, 2018 745 ± 3.7% 56% 37% – – – 1% 5%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2018 1,076 ± 3.7% 57% 26% – – – 2% 12%
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 692 ± 4.3% 57% 31% – – – 0% 9%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 772 ± 4.0% 57% 29% – – – 0% 11%
Hypothetical polling
    with Cynthia Nixon as WFP nominee
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo
(D) 		Marc
Molinaro
(R) 		Cynthia
Nixon
(WFP) 		Stephanie
Miner
(SAM) 		Howie
Hawkins
(G) 		Larry
Sharpe
(L) 		Other Undecided
Siena College September 20–27, 2018 701 ± 3.9% 50% 28% 10% 1% 1% 2% 0% 8%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party) August 29–30, 2018 2,783 ± 1.9% 31% 30% 14% 5% 5% 5% – 10%
Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2018 934 ± 4.1% 43% 23% 13% 1% 2% 3% 1% 14%
Zogby Analytics June 27 – July 3, 2018 708 ± 3.7% 44% 26% 14% 6% 3% – – 7%
Gravis Marketing (L-Sharpe) June 4–7, 2018 654 ± 3.8% 43% 15% 15% – 4% 6% – 18%
Quinnipiac University April 26 – May 1, 2018 1,076 ± 3.7% 40% 23% 20% – – – 0% 15%
    with Cynthia Nixon as Democratic nominee
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Cynthia
Nixon (D) 		Marc
Molinaro (R) 		Other Undecided
Siena College June 4–7, 2018 745 ± 3.7% 46% 35% 2% 15%
    with John DeFrancisco
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		John
DeFrancisco (R) 		Other Undecided
Siena College April 8–12, 2018 692 ± 4.3% 56% 32% 1% 9%
Siena College March 11–16, 2018 772 ± 4.0% 57% 28% 1% 11%
    with Carl Paladino
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Carl
Paladino (R) 		Undecided
Marist College June 6–10, 2017 703 ± 3.7% 57% 26% 17%
    with Rob Astorino
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Rob
Astorino (R) 		Undecided
Marist College June 6–10, 2017 703 ± 3.7% 58% 26% 16%
    with Chris Gibson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Chris
Gibson (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 7–10, 2016 1,403 ± 2.6% 49% 26% 26%
    with Donald Trump Jr.
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Donald
Trump Jr. (R) 		Undecided
Marist College June 6–10, 2017 703 ± 3.7% 62% 27% 11%
    with Harry Wilson
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Andrew
Cuomo (D) 		Harry
Wilson (R) 		Undecided
Marist College June 6–10, 2017 703 ± 3.7% 58% 22% 20%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 10, 2018
Candidate Amount raised
Andrew Cuomo $37,030,713.00
Marc Molinaro $2,408,077.00
Larry Sharpe $522,882.00
Stephanie Miner $725,060.93
Howie Hawkins $189,918.94
Source: New York State Board of Elections

Results

On November 6, 2018, the Cuomo-Hochul ticket defeated the Molinaro-Killian ticket by a margin of 59.6%–36.2%. Cuomo received 3,635,430 votes, making him the top vote earner in any New York gubernatorial election in history.

2018 New York gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Andrew Cuomo 3,424,416 56.09% +8.64%
Working Families Andrew Cuomo 114,478 1.88% -1.43%
Independence Andrew Cuomo 68,713 1.13% -0.91%
Women's Equality Andrew Cuomo 27,733 0.45% -0.96%
Total Andrew Cuomo (incumbent) 3,635,340 59.55% +5.43%
Republican Marc Molinaro 1,926,485 31.56% -0.79%
Conservative Marc Molinaro 253,624 4.16% -2.41%
Reform Marc Molinaro 27,493 0.45% N/A
Total Marc Molinaro 2,207,602 36.16% -4.10%
Green Howie Hawkins 103,946 1.70% -3.14%
Libertarian Larry Sharpe 95,033 1.56% +1.12%
SAM Stephanie Miner 55,441 0.91% N/A
N/A Misc. Write-Ins 7,115 0.12% N/A
Total votes 6,104,447 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Cuomo won 20 of 27 congressional districts, including two held by Republicans. Molinaro won 7, including three that elected Democrats.

District Cuomo Molinaro Representative
1st 49.0% 48.6% Lee Zeldin
2nd 50.6% 47.3% Peter T. King
3rd 56.6% 41.4% Thomas Suozzi
4th 58.4% 39.8% Kathleen Rice
5th 88.5% 10.3% Gregory Meeks
6th 69.3% 27.6% Grace Meng
7th 86.8% 8.1% Nydia Velázquez
8th 86.9% 10.1% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 85.6% 10.7% Yvette Clarke
10th 80.0% 16.1% Jerry Nadler
11th 52.2% 45.6% Max Rose
12th 82.2% 13.2% Carolyn Maloney
13th 92.3% 4.5% Adriano Espaillat
14th 80.7% 16.4% Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th 94.9% 3.9% Jose E. Serrano
16th 76.8% 21.0% Eliot Engel
17th 60.4% 36.9% Nita Lowey
18th 47.8% 49.0% Sean Patrick Maloney
19th 41.9% 53.1% Antonio Delgado
20th 46.7% 46.5% Paul Tonko
21st 34.6% 58.9% Elise Stefanik
22nd 36.6% 56.2% Anthony Brindisi
23rd 37.4% 54.5% Tom Reed
24th 43.8% 47.4% John Katko
25th 51.8% 41.8% Joe Morelle
26th 58.2% 37.4% Brian Higgins
27th 33.6% 60.9% Chris Collins

Aftermath

Cuomo was sworn in for a third term as governor on January 1, 2019. He would resign from the governorship on August 10, 2021, following sexual harassment allegations and a nursing home scandal that plagued his third term. Cuomo also faced poor polling numbers; he barely polled ahead of Republican Lee Zeldin and Rob Astorino in 2021.

Molinaro's crushing election defeat and the Republican loss of the State Senate caused many members in the New York GOP to turn openly against then-Chairman Edward Cox, who they blamed for failing to financially or structurally support the party's election campaigns. On May 27, 2019, Cox announced that he would not run for another term as chair that year, choosing to join Donald Trump's reelection campaign instead. On July 2, the state party committee elected Nick Langworthy as the new party chairman.

Howie Hawkins lost ballot access for the Green Party under new requirements as of December 2021.

Stephanie Miner also lost her ballot access for the Serve America Movement as of New York State election law of December 2021.

The Libertarian Party of New York lost their ballot access with Larry Sharpe's 95,033 votes under new New York State election law requirements as of December, 2021.

The Women's Equality Party and Reform Party of New York both lost automatic ballot access by failing to meet the requirements of the New York State election law of December 2021.

References

This article uses material from the Wikipedia English article 2018 New York gubernatorial election, which is released under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 license ("CC BY-SA 3.0"); additional terms may apply (view authors). Content is available under CC BY-SA 4.0 unless otherwise noted. Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.
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